National Weather Service observations from Miami International Airport confirm an overnight low of 82–83°F on August 14, 2026, consistent with mid-August subtropical climatology. High sea-surface temperatures in the adjacent Atlantic and Gulf Stream maintained elevated boundary-layer moisture, suppressing nocturnal radiational cooling beneath partly cloudy skies with light easterly flow. This pattern aligns with historical normals near 80°F and recent model consensus from the National Hurricane Center and local forecast offices showing minimal diurnal temperature ranges. Trader consensus at 100% for the 82–83°F bin reflects these verified conditions. A stronger-than-forecast cold front, prolonged clear skies, or anomalous wind surge could have lowered readings into the upper 70s, though official data and steering patterns provided no support for such deviations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Miami on August 14?
Lowest temperature in Miami on August 14?
82-83°F 100.0%
71°F or below <1%
72-73°F <1%
74-75°F <1%
$8,350 Vol.
$8,350 Vol.
Aug 14, 2026
71°F or below
No
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
Yes
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
No
90°F or higher
No
82-83°F 100.0%
71°F or below <1%
72-73°F <1%
74-75°F <1%
$8,350 Vol.
$8,350 Vol.
Aug 14, 2026
71°F or below
$303 Vol.
No
72-73°F
$296 Vol.
No
74-75°F
$662 Vol.
No
76-77°F
$1,307 Vol.
No
78-79°F
$1,344 Vol.
No
80-81°F
$842 Vol.
No
82-83°F
$1,449 Vol.
Yes
84-85°F
$779 Vol.
No
86-87°F
$455 Vol.
No
88-89°F
$615 Vol.
No
90°F or higher
$298 Vol.
No
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service observations from Miami International Airport confirm an overnight low of 82–83°F on August 14, 2026, consistent with mid-August subtropical climatology. High sea-surface temperatures in the adjacent Atlantic and Gulf Stream maintained elevated boundary-layer moisture, suppressing nocturnal radiational cooling beneath partly cloudy skies with light easterly flow. This pattern aligns with historical normals near 80°F and recent model consensus from the National Hurricane Center and local forecast offices showing minimal diurnal temperature ranges. Trader consensus at 100% for the 82–83°F bin reflects these verified conditions. A stronger-than-forecast cold front, prolonged clear skies, or anomalous wind surge could have lowered readings into the upper 70s, though official data and steering patterns provided no support for such deviations.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 12, 2026, 9:28 PM ET
Volume
$8,350End Date
Aug 14, 2026Market Opened
Aug 12, 2026, 9:28 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service observations from Miami International Airport confirm an overnight low of 82–83°F on August 14, 2026, consistent with mid-August subtropical climatology. High sea-surface temperatures in the adjacent Atlantic and Gulf Stream maintained elevated boundary-layer moisture, suppressing nocturnal radiational cooling beneath partly cloudy skies with light easterly flow. This pattern aligns with historical normals near 80°F and recent model consensus from the National Hurricane Center and local forecast offices showing minimal diurnal temperature ranges. Trader consensus at 100% for the 82–83°F bin reflects these verified conditions. A stronger-than-forecast cold front, prolonged clear skies, or anomalous wind surge could have lowered readings into the upper 70s, though official data and steering patterns provided no support for such deviations.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$8,350End Date
Aug 14, 2026Market Opened
Aug 12, 2026, 9:28 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
National Weather Service observations from Miami International Airport confirm an overnight low of 82–83°F on August 14, 2026, consistent with mid-August subtropical climatology. High sea-surface temperatures in the adjacent Atlantic and Gulf Stream maintained elevated boundary-layer moisture, suppressing nocturnal radiational cooling beneath partly cloudy skies with light easterly flow. This pattern aligns with historical normals near 80°F and recent model consensus from the National Hurricane Center and local forecast offices showing minimal diurnal temperature ranges. Trader consensus at 100% for the 82–83°F bin reflects these verified conditions. A stronger-than-forecast cold front, prolonged clear skies, or anomalous wind surge could have lowered readings into the upper 70s, though official data and steering patterns provided no support for such deviations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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