Recent forecast consensus from DWD, ECMWF, and GFS ensembles points to overnight radiative cooling under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies and light northeasterly winds, driving Munich’s minimum temperature on September 22 into the 5–8 °C range. This aligns with trader emphasis on the 5 °C and 4 °C outcomes, reflecting model guidance for a cooler-than-average night relative to the 1991–2020 climatological low of 9.3 °C. Clear conditions and modest dew points near 4–6 °C enhance surface heat loss, while the absence of strong frontal systems or Foehn warming keeps readings from rebounding early. Resolution hinges on official DWD station observations; any late-model shift in cloud cover or wind could narrow the spread before the daily minimum is confirmed.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Munich on September 22?
Lowest temperature in Munich on September 22?
2°C or below 57%
4°C 52%
3°C 19%
6°C <1%
NEW
NEW
Sep 22, 2026
2°C or below
57%
3°C
19%
4°C
52%
5°C
70%
6°C
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C or higher
<1%
2°C or below 57%
4°C 52%
3°C 19%
6°C <1%
NEW
NEW
Sep 22, 2026
2°C or below
$0 Vol.
57%
3°C
$8 Vol.
19%
4°C
$5 Vol.
52%
5°C
$151 Vol.
70%
6°C
$63 Vol.
<1%
7°C
$15 Vol.
<1%
8°C
$23 Vol.
<1%
9°C
$15 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$15 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$15 Vol.
<1%
12°C or higher
$15 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast consensus from DWD, ECMWF, and GFS ensembles points to overnight radiative cooling under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies and light northeasterly winds, driving Munich’s minimum temperature on September 22 into the 5–8 °C range. This aligns with trader emphasis on the 5 °C and 4 °C outcomes, reflecting model guidance for a cooler-than-average night relative to the 1991–2020 climatological low of 9.3 °C. Clear conditions and modest dew points near 4–6 °C enhance surface heat loss, while the absence of strong frontal systems or Foehn warming keeps readings from rebounding early. Resolution hinges on official DWD station observations; any late-model shift in cloud cover or wind could narrow the spread before the daily minimum is confirmed.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 20, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$326End Date
Sep 22, 2026Market Opened
Sep 20, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast consensus from DWD, ECMWF, and GFS ensembles points to overnight radiative cooling under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies and light northeasterly winds, driving Munich’s minimum temperature on September 22 into the 5–8 °C range. This aligns with trader emphasis on the 5 °C and 4 °C outcomes, reflecting model guidance for a cooler-than-average night relative to the 1991–2020 climatological low of 9.3 °C. Clear conditions and modest dew points near 4–6 °C enhance surface heat loss, while the absence of strong frontal systems or Foehn warming keeps readings from rebounding early. Resolution hinges on official DWD station observations; any late-model shift in cloud cover or wind could narrow the spread before the daily minimum is confirmed.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$326End Date
Sep 22, 2026Market Opened
Sep 20, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast consensus from DWD, ECMWF, and GFS ensembles points to overnight radiative cooling under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies and light northeasterly winds, driving Munich’s minimum temperature on September 22 into the 5–8 °C range. This aligns with trader emphasis on the 5 °C and 4 °C outcomes, reflecting model guidance for a cooler-than-average night relative to the 1991–2020 climatological low of 9.3 °C. Clear conditions and modest dew points near 4–6 °C enhance surface heat loss, while the absence of strong frontal systems or Foehn warming keeps readings from rebounding early. Resolution hinges on official DWD station observations; any late-model shift in cloud cover or wind could narrow the spread before the daily minimum is confirmed.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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