**Current forecasts from Chinese meteorological sources project a minimum temperature around 24°C for Qingdao on September 16 under clear to sunny skies with light southerly winds.** This places the daily low firmly between the market's leading outcomes of 16°C or below (46.5% implied) and 26°C or higher (45.5%), reflecting genuine uncertainty in the precise overnight minimum amid coastal moderation. Qingdao's peninsula location and Yellow Sea influence limit radiative cooling, while high humidity and potential sea breezes can keep temperatures elevated compared to inland areas. Model consensus shows stable high pressure supporting minimal cloud cover and light winds, but small shifts in timing or local measurement (urban vs. airport stations) could nudge the low by 1–2°C. Historical September averages hover near 18°C lows, yet recent patterns favor warmer conditions. Updated model runs or evening observations ahead of resolution will clarify the final reading.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Qingdao on September 16?
Lowest temperature in Qingdao on September 16?
16°C or below 89%
26°C or higher 89%
22°C 39%
19°C 31%
NEW
NEW
Sep 16, 2026
16°C or below
89%
17°C
24%
18°C
29%
19°C
31%
20°C
22%
21°C
21%
22°C
39%
23°C
13%
24°C
13%
25°C
13%
26°C or higher
89%
16°C or below 89%
26°C or higher 89%
22°C 39%
19°C 31%
NEW
NEW
Sep 16, 2026
16°C or below
$0 Vol.
89%
17°C
$0 Vol.
24%
18°C
$0 Vol.
29%
19°C
$0 Vol.
31%
20°C
$0 Vol.
22%
21°C
$0 Vol.
21%
22°C
$0 Vol.
39%
23°C
$0 Vol.
13%
24°C
$0 Vol.
13%
25°C
$0 Vol.
13%
26°C or higher
$0 Vol.
89%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from Chinese meteorological sources project a minimum temperature around 24°C for Qingdao on September 16 under clear to sunny skies with light southerly winds.** This places the daily low firmly between the market's leading outcomes of 16°C or below (46.5% implied) and 26°C or higher (45.5%), reflecting genuine uncertainty in the precise overnight minimum amid coastal moderation. Qingdao's peninsula location and Yellow Sea influence limit radiative cooling, while high humidity and potential sea breezes can keep temperatures elevated compared to inland areas. Model consensus shows stable high pressure supporting minimal cloud cover and light winds, but small shifts in timing or local measurement (urban vs. airport stations) could nudge the low by 1–2°C. Historical September averages hover near 18°C lows, yet recent patterns favor warmer conditions. Updated model runs or evening observations ahead of resolution will clarify the final reading.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 14, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$0End Date
Sep 16, 2026Market Opened
Sep 14, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from Chinese meteorological sources project a minimum temperature around 24°C for Qingdao on September 16 under clear to sunny skies with light southerly winds.** This places the daily low firmly between the market's leading outcomes of 16°C or below (46.5% implied) and 26°C or higher (45.5%), reflecting genuine uncertainty in the precise overnight minimum amid coastal moderation. Qingdao's peninsula location and Yellow Sea influence limit radiative cooling, while high humidity and potential sea breezes can keep temperatures elevated compared to inland areas. Model consensus shows stable high pressure supporting minimal cloud cover and light winds, but small shifts in timing or local measurement (urban vs. airport stations) could nudge the low by 1–2°C. Historical September averages hover near 18°C lows, yet recent patterns favor warmer conditions. Updated model runs or evening observations ahead of resolution will clarify the final reading.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0End Date
Sep 16, 2026Market Opened
Sep 14, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Current forecasts from Chinese meteorological sources project a minimum temperature around 24°C for Qingdao on September 16 under clear to sunny skies with light southerly winds.** This places the daily low firmly between the market's leading outcomes of 16°C or below (46.5% implied) and 26°C or higher (45.5%), reflecting genuine uncertainty in the precise overnight minimum amid coastal moderation. Qingdao's peninsula location and Yellow Sea influence limit radiative cooling, while high humidity and potential sea breezes can keep temperatures elevated compared to inland areas. Model consensus shows stable high pressure supporting minimal cloud cover and light winds, but small shifts in timing or local measurement (urban vs. airport stations) could nudge the low by 1–2°C. Historical September averages hover near 18°C lows, yet recent patterns favor warmer conditions. Updated model runs or evening observations ahead of resolution will clarify the final reading.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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