Current National Weather Service and model consensus forecasts for Seattle on August 30 point to overnight lows in the lower-to-mid 50s °F under lingering marine-layer influence, light onshore flow, and variable cloud cover that modulates radiative cooling. These conditions favor the market’s leading 52–53 °F and 54–55 °F bins by limiting strong nighttime temperature drops while preventing much colder readings associated with clear, calm skies. Recent upstream trough passage has kept the boundary layer moist and stable, consistent with the historical average low of 55.5 °F and recent August minima near 55 °F. Trader sentiment therefore clusters tightly around these outcomes because short-term forecast uncertainty remains small, with resolution hinging on the precise minimum recorded at Sea-Tac before sunrise.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Seattle on August 30?
Lowest temperature in Seattle on August 30?
52-53°F 39%
54-55°F 38%
56-57°F 28%
64°F or higher 15%
NEW
NEW
Aug 30, 2026
45°F or below
12%
46-47°F
8%
48-49°F
9%
50-51°F
9%
52-53°F
39%
54-55°F
38%
56-57°F
28%
58-59°F
10%
60-61°F
8%
62-63°F
14%
64°F or higher
15%
52-53°F 39%
54-55°F 38%
56-57°F 28%
64°F or higher 15%
NEW
NEW
Aug 30, 2026
45°F or below
$69 Vol.
12%
46-47°F
$32 Vol.
8%
48-49°F
$0 Vol.
9%
50-51°F
$0 Vol.
9%
52-53°F
$0 Vol.
39%
54-55°F
$0 Vol.
38%
56-57°F
$0 Vol.
28%
58-59°F
$7 Vol.
10%
60-61°F
$7 Vol.
8%
62-63°F
$10 Vol.
14%
64°F or higher
$10 Vol.
15%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and model consensus forecasts for Seattle on August 30 point to overnight lows in the lower-to-mid 50s °F under lingering marine-layer influence, light onshore flow, and variable cloud cover that modulates radiative cooling. These conditions favor the market’s leading 52–53 °F and 54–55 °F bins by limiting strong nighttime temperature drops while preventing much colder readings associated with clear, calm skies. Recent upstream trough passage has kept the boundary layer moist and stable, consistent with the historical average low of 55.5 °F and recent August minima near 55 °F. Trader sentiment therefore clusters tightly around these outcomes because short-term forecast uncertainty remains small, with resolution hinging on the precise minimum recorded at Sea-Tac before sunrise.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 28, 2026, 10:29 AM ET
Volume
$135End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 10:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kseaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and model consensus forecasts for Seattle on August 30 point to overnight lows in the lower-to-mid 50s °F under lingering marine-layer influence, light onshore flow, and variable cloud cover that modulates radiative cooling. These conditions favor the market’s leading 52–53 °F and 54–55 °F bins by limiting strong nighttime temperature drops while preventing much colder readings associated with clear, calm skies. Recent upstream trough passage has kept the boundary layer moist and stable, consistent with the historical average low of 55.5 °F and recent August minima near 55 °F. Trader sentiment therefore clusters tightly around these outcomes because short-term forecast uncertainty remains small, with resolution hinging on the precise minimum recorded at Sea-Tac before sunrise.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$135End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 10:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kseaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current National Weather Service and model consensus forecasts for Seattle on August 30 point to overnight lows in the lower-to-mid 50s °F under lingering marine-layer influence, light onshore flow, and variable cloud cover that modulates radiative cooling. These conditions favor the market’s leading 52–53 °F and 54–55 °F bins by limiting strong nighttime temperature drops while preventing much colder readings associated with clear, calm skies. Recent upstream trough passage has kept the boundary layer moist and stable, consistent with the historical average low of 55.5 °F and recent August minima near 55 °F. Trader sentiment therefore clusters tightly around these outcomes because short-term forecast uncertainty remains small, with resolution hinging on the precise minimum recorded at Sea-Tac before sunrise.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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