Nicolás Maduro faces a June 2027 trial in U.S. federal court in New York on a four-count superseding indictment alleging narcoterrorism conspiracy, cocaine importation conspiracy, and weapons offenses tied to alleged facilitation of drug shipments. He and co-defendants, including his wife, pleaded not guilty in January 2026 after his capture by U.S. forces. Defense counsel plans early motions challenging jurisdiction, head-of-state immunity, and the legality of the apprehension, with oral arguments scheduled for November 2026 and extended pretrial deadlines stretching into 2027. These procedural and substantive hurdles, combined with the complex multi-defendant narco-terrorism case and historical challenges in similar prosecutions, underpin trader consensus that convictions on every count by the December 2027 resolution deadline remain unlikely.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated33% chance
$132,711 Vol.
$132,711 Vol.
Dec 30, 2027
33% chance
$132,711 Vol.
$132,711 Vol.
Dec 30, 2027
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is found guilty of all counts in the indictment 'UNITED STATES OF AMERICA V. NICOLAS MADURO MOROS[...]' (S4 11 Cr. 205 (AKH)) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Nicolás Maduro faces a June 2027 trial in U.S. federal court in New York on a four-count superseding indictment alleging narcoterrorism conspiracy, cocaine importation conspiracy, and weapons offenses tied to alleged facilitation of drug shipments. He and co-defendants, including his wife, pleaded not guilty in January 2026 after his capture by U.S. forces. Defense counsel plans early motions challenging jurisdiction, head-of-state immunity, and the legality of the apprehension, with oral arguments scheduled for November 2026 and extended pretrial deadlines stretching into 2027. These procedural and substantive hurdles, combined with the complex multi-defendant narco-terrorism case and historical challenges in similar prosecutions, underpin trader consensus that convictions on every count by the December 2027 resolution deadline remain unlikely.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is found guilty of all counts in the indictment 'UNITED STATES OF AMERICA V. NICOLAS MADURO MOROS[...]' (S4 11 Cr. 205 (AKH)) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Jan 4, 2026, 12:28 PM ET
Volume
$132,711End Date
Dec 31, 2027Market Opened
Jan 4, 2026, 12:28 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is found guilty of all counts in the indictment 'UNITED STATES OF AMERICA V. NICOLAS MADURO MOROS[...]' (S4 11 Cr. 205 (AKH)) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Nicolás Maduro faces a June 2027 trial in U.S. federal court in New York on a four-count superseding indictment alleging narcoterrorism conspiracy, cocaine importation conspiracy, and weapons offenses tied to alleged facilitation of drug shipments. He and co-defendants, including his wife, pleaded not guilty in January 2026 after his capture by U.S. forces. Defense counsel plans early motions challenging jurisdiction, head-of-state immunity, and the legality of the apprehension, with oral arguments scheduled for November 2026 and extended pretrial deadlines stretching into 2027. These procedural and substantive hurdles, combined with the complex multi-defendant narco-terrorism case and historical challenges in similar prosecutions, underpin trader consensus that convictions on every count by the December 2027 resolution deadline remain unlikely.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is found guilty of all counts in the indictment 'UNITED STATES OF AMERICA V. NICOLAS MADURO MOROS[...]' (S4 11 Cr. 205 (AKH)) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$132,711End Date
Dec 31, 2027Market Opened
Jan 4, 2026, 12:28 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Nicolás Maduro faces a June 2027 trial in U.S. federal court in New York on a four-count superseding indictment alleging narcoterrorism conspiracy, cocaine importation conspiracy, and weapons offenses tied to alleged facilitation of drug shipments. He and co-defendants, including his wife, pleaded not guilty in January 2026 after his capture by U.S. forces. Defense counsel plans early motions challenging jurisdiction, head-of-state immunity, and the legality of the apprehension, with oral arguments scheduled for November 2026 and extended pretrial deadlines stretching into 2027. These procedural and substantive hurdles, combined with the complex multi-defendant narco-terrorism case and historical challenges in similar prosecutions, underpin trader consensus that convictions on every count by the December 2027 resolution deadline remain unlikely.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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