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icon for Maine Governor Democratic Primary Winner
Politics·Primaries

Maine Governor Democratic Primary Winner

icon for Maine Governor Democratic Primary Winner
Politics·Primaries

Maine Governor Democratic Primary Winner

Nirav Shah 39%

Troy Jackson 26%

Hannah Pingree 20%

Shenna Bellows 8.8%

Polymarket

$55,138 Vol.

Nirav Shah 39%

Troy Jackson 26%

Hannah Pingree 20%

Shenna Bellows 8.8%

Polymarket

$55,138 Vol.

Nirav Shah

$8,410 Vol.

39%

Troy Jackson

$8,617 Vol.

26%

Hannah Pingree

$5,188 Vol.

20%

Shenna Bellows

$5,462 Vol.

9%

Angus King III

$4,377 Vol.

7%

Jason Cherry

$19,485 Vol.

<1%

Kenneth Pinet

$3,599 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Maine, scheduled to take place on June 9, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Maine Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Maine Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Nirav Shah holds trader consensus at 38.5% implied probability in the Maine Democratic gubernatorial primary due to consistent winter polling leads—25% in a February University of New Hampshire survey and 35% in a January candidate-backed poll—bolstered by his visibility as former Maine CDC director during the COVID-19 pandemic and crossing $1 million in fundraising by late April. Troy Jackson follows at 25.5% on his Senate Majority Leader profile, rural appeal, and endorsements from the Sierra Club and Maine Education Association, while Hannah Pingree's 19.5% reflects her ex-House Speaker experience and family name recognition. Recent May debates by CBS13 and Bangor Daily News highlighted policy contrasts on taxes, health care, and Trump-era resistance without seismic shifts, amid minor ethics complaints over campaign tactics. With the June 9 ranked-choice primary nearing, undecided voters and second-choice dynamics sustain a fragmented, competitive field.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Maine, scheduled to take place on June 9, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 Maine Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Maine Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$55,138
End Date
Jun 9, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 10, 2025, 7:06 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Maine, scheduled to take place on June 9, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Maine Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Maine Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Maine, scheduled to take place on June 9, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Maine Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Maine Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Nirav Shah holds trader consensus at 38.5% implied probability in the Maine Democratic gubernatorial primary due to consistent winter polling leads—25% in a February University of New Hampshire survey and 35% in a January candidate-backed poll—bolstered by his visibility as former Maine CDC director during the COVID-19 pandemic and crossing $1 million in fundraising by late April. Troy Jackson follows at 25.5% on his Senate Majority Leader profile, rural appeal, and endorsements from the Sierra Club and Maine Education Association, while Hannah Pingree's 19.5% reflects her ex-House Speaker experience and family name recognition. Recent May debates by CBS13 and Bangor Daily News highlighted policy contrasts on taxes, health care, and Trump-era resistance without seismic shifts, amid minor ethics complaints over campaign tactics. With the June 9 ranked-choice primary nearing, undecided voters and second-choice dynamics sustain a fragmented, competitive field.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Maine, scheduled to take place on June 9, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 Maine Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Maine Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$55,138
End Date
Jun 9, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 10, 2025, 7:06 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Maine, scheduled to take place on June 9, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Maine Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Maine Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Maine Governor Democratic Primary Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Nirav Shah" at 39%, followed by "Troy Jackson" at 26%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 39¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 39% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Maine Governor Democratic Primary Winner" has generated $55.1K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 11, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Maine Governor Democratic Primary Winner," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Maine Governor Democratic Primary Winner" is "Nirav Shah" at 39%, meaning the market assigns a 39% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Troy Jackson" at 26%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Maine Governor Democratic Primary Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.