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Politics·Main Elections

Makerfield by-election Winner

icon for Makerfield by-election Winner
Politics·Main Elections

Makerfield by-election Winner

Andy Burnham 63%

Robert Kenyon 30%

James Thomas Bryer 1.1%

Maria Deery <1%

Polymarket

$27,210 Vol.

Andy Burnham 63%

Robert Kenyon 30%

James Thomas Bryer 1.1%

Maria Deery <1%

Polymarket

$27,210 Vol.

Andy Burnham

$13,490 Vol.

63%

Robert Kenyon

$9,934 Vol.

30%

James Thomas Bryer

$297 Vol.

1%

Maria Deery

$1,165 Vol.

1%

John Skipworth

$1,034 Vol.

1%

Simon Finkelstein

$1,289 Vol.

<1%

A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is expected to be held in 2026 following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026. If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).Andy Burnham holds the leading position in the Makerfield by-election market due to his established profile as Greater Manchester mayor and prior success representing nearby constituencies, which traders view as a strong personal vote advantage in a Labour-leaning area. Recent local elections showed Reform UK gaining substantial ground across Wigan wards, boosting Robert Kenyon's prospects as the party's candidate and former parliamentary runner-up in the seat. Labour's National Executive Committee approved Burnham's candidacy selection on 15 May after Josh Simons resigned to create the opening, with the by-election now scheduled for June. This timeline and Reform's local momentum keep the contest competitive despite Burnham's frontrunner status among traders.

A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is expected to be held in 2026 following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026.

If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).
Volume
$27,210
Market Opened
May 14, 2026, 7:43 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is expected to be held in 2026 following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026. If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is expected to be held in 2026 following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026. If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).Andy Burnham holds the leading position in the Makerfield by-election market due to his established profile as Greater Manchester mayor and prior success representing nearby constituencies, which traders view as a strong personal vote advantage in a Labour-leaning area. Recent local elections showed Reform UK gaining substantial ground across Wigan wards, boosting Robert Kenyon's prospects as the party's candidate and former parliamentary runner-up in the seat. Labour's National Executive Committee approved Burnham's candidacy selection on 15 May after Josh Simons resigned to create the opening, with the by-election now scheduled for June. This timeline and Reform's local momentum keep the contest competitive despite Burnham's frontrunner status among traders.

A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is expected to be held in 2026 following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026.

If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).
Volume
$27,210
Market Opened
May 14, 2026, 7:43 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is expected to be held in 2026 following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026. If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Makerfield by-election Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 6 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Andy Burnham" at 63%, followed by "Robert Kenyon" at 30%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 63¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 63% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Makerfield by-election Winner" has generated $27.2K in total trading volume since the market launched on May 14, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Makerfield by-election Winner," browse the 6 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Makerfield by-election Winner" is "Andy Burnham" at 63%, meaning the market assigns a 63% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Robert Kenyon" at 30%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Makerfield by-election Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.