Micware's IPO pricing yesterday at $8 per American Depositary Share (ADS) for 2.85 million ADSs—upsized from prior $17 million terms—implies a fully diluted market cap of approximately $479 million, fitting squarely within the $450M–$550M range and driving trader consensus to near-certainty. This Japan-based automotive software developer, focused on in-vehicle infotainment platforms like naviAZ and software-defined vehicle (SDV) solutions for OEMs including Honda and Toyota, advanced through a March F-1 filing, April adjustments amid decelerating growth, and strong demand signaling completion well before July 2026. While the small $22.8 million float heightens debut volatility on Nasdaq (MWC) today, a sharp first-day price swing from macro pressures or liquidity constraints could challenge the closing cap threshold.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedMicware IPO Closing Market Cap
Micware IPO Closing Market Cap
$450M–$550M 99.5%
<$350M 1.0%
$350M–$450M 1.0%
$550M–$650M <1%
$6,980 Vol.
$6,980 Vol.
May 14, 2026
<$350M
No
$350M–$450M
No
$450M–$550M
Yes
$550M–$650M
No
$650M+
No
No IPO before July 2026
No
$450M–$550M 99.5%
<$350M 1.0%
$350M–$450M 1.0%
$550M–$650M <1%
$6,980 Vol.
$6,980 Vol.
May 14, 2026
<$350M
$335 Vol.
No
$350M–$450M
$424 Vol.
No
$450M–$550M
$680 Vol.
Yes
$550M–$650M
$4,173 Vol.
No
$650M+
$668 Vol.
No
No IPO before July 2026
$699 Vol.
No
This market will resolve based on Micware's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on May 14 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before July 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company's outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company's total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange's official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange's official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.Micware's IPO pricing yesterday at $8 per American Depositary Share (ADS) for 2.85 million ADSs—upsized from prior $17 million terms—implies a fully diluted market cap of approximately $479 million, fitting squarely within the $450M–$550M range and driving trader consensus to near-certainty. This Japan-based automotive software developer, focused on in-vehicle infotainment platforms like naviAZ and software-defined vehicle (SDV) solutions for OEMs including Honda and Toyota, advanced through a March F-1 filing, April adjustments amid decelerating growth, and strong demand signaling completion well before July 2026. While the small $22.8 million float heightens debut volatility on Nasdaq (MWC) today, a sharp first-day price swing from macro pressures or liquidity constraints could challenge the closing cap threshold.
This market will resolve based on Micware's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on May 14 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before July 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company's outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company's total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange's official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange's official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on May 14 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before July 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company's outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company's total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange's official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange's official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
Market Opened: May 13, 2026, 11:38 AM ET
Volume
$6,980End Date
May 14, 2026Market Opened
May 13, 2026, 11:38 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve based on Micware's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on May 14 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before July 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company's outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company's total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange's official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange's official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.Micware's IPO pricing yesterday at $8 per American Depositary Share (ADS) for 2.85 million ADSs—upsized from prior $17 million terms—implies a fully diluted market cap of approximately $479 million, fitting squarely within the $450M–$550M range and driving trader consensus to near-certainty. This Japan-based automotive software developer, focused on in-vehicle infotainment platforms like naviAZ and software-defined vehicle (SDV) solutions for OEMs including Honda and Toyota, advanced through a March F-1 filing, April adjustments amid decelerating growth, and strong demand signaling completion well before July 2026. While the small $22.8 million float heightens debut volatility on Nasdaq (MWC) today, a sharp first-day price swing from macro pressures or liquidity constraints could challenge the closing cap threshold.
This market will resolve based on Micware's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on May 14 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before July 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company's outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company's total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange's official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange's official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on May 14 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before July 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company's outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company's total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange's official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange's official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
Volume
$6,980End Date
May 14, 2026Market Opened
May 13, 2026, 11:38 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Micware's IPO pricing yesterday at $8 per American Depositary Share (ADS) for 2.85 million ADSs—upsized from prior $17 million terms—implies a fully diluted market cap of approximately $479 million, fitting squarely within the $450M–$550M range and driving trader consensus to near-certainty. This Japan-based automotive software developer, focused on in-vehicle infotainment platforms like naviAZ and software-defined vehicle (SDV) solutions for OEMs including Honda and Toyota, advanced through a March F-1 filing, April adjustments amid decelerating growth, and strong demand signaling completion well before July 2026. While the small $22.8 million float heightens debut volatility on Nasdaq (MWC) today, a sharp first-day price swing from macro pressures or liquidity constraints could challenge the closing cap threshold.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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