Senator Cleitinho Azevedo commands 56.5% trader consensus as the frontrunner in the Minas Gerais gubernatorial race, reflecting his sustained lead in recent polls like the DOXA survey from May 1-5, where he topped first-round scenarios at 28-30% ahead of Alexandre Kalil (21-24%) and a fragmented field including Mateus Simões (7%) and Rodrigo Pacheco (6%). A May 12 alliance with presidential hopeful Flávio Bolsonaro bolsters his appeal to conservative voters, positioning him to potentially avoid a runoff or prevail in second-round matchups. Pacheco holds second at 18.5% market odds amid earlier polling strength, while Kalil (8.6%) and others trail; party conventions and August 15 registration deadlines loom as key catalysts ahead of the October 4 first round.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedCleitinho Azevedo 56%
Rodrigo Pacheco 19%
Gabriel Azevedo 12.0%
Alexandre Kalil 10.7%
$16,919 Vol.
$16,919 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Cleitinho Azevedo
56%
Rodrigo Pacheco
19%
Gabriel Azevedo
9%
Alexandre Kalil
11%
Tadeu Leite
6%
Nikolas Ferreira
6%
Alexandre Silveira
6%
Aécio Neves
4%
Benoni Mendes
3%
Mateus Simões
2%
Cleitinho Azevedo 56%
Rodrigo Pacheco 19%
Gabriel Azevedo 12.0%
Alexandre Kalil 10.7%
$16,919 Vol.
$16,919 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Cleitinho Azevedo
$5,642 Vol.
56%
Rodrigo Pacheco
$2,946 Vol.
19%
Gabriel Azevedo
$1,118 Vol.
9%
Alexandre Kalil
$743 Vol.
11%
Tadeu Leite
$1,518 Vol.
6%
Nikolas Ferreira
$2,129 Vol.
6%
Alexandre Silveira
$595 Vol.
6%
Aécio Neves
$631 Vol.
4%
Benoni Mendes
$972 Vol.
3%
Mateus Simões
$624 Vol.
2%
The Minas Gerais gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Senator Cleitinho Azevedo commands 56.5% trader consensus as the frontrunner in the Minas Gerais gubernatorial race, reflecting his sustained lead in recent polls like the DOXA survey from May 1-5, where he topped first-round scenarios at 28-30% ahead of Alexandre Kalil (21-24%) and a fragmented field including Mateus Simões (7%) and Rodrigo Pacheco (6%). A May 12 alliance with presidential hopeful Flávio Bolsonaro bolsters his appeal to conservative voters, positioning him to potentially avoid a runoff or prevail in second-round matchups. Pacheco holds second at 18.5% market odds amid earlier polling strength, while Kalil (8.6%) and others trail; party conventions and August 15 registration deadlines loom as key catalysts ahead of the October 4 first round.
The Minas Gerais gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Market Opened: Apr 27, 2026, 5:26 PM ET
Volume
$16,919End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Apr 27, 2026, 5:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Minas Gerais gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Senator Cleitinho Azevedo commands 56.5% trader consensus as the frontrunner in the Minas Gerais gubernatorial race, reflecting his sustained lead in recent polls like the DOXA survey from May 1-5, where he topped first-round scenarios at 28-30% ahead of Alexandre Kalil (21-24%) and a fragmented field including Mateus Simões (7%) and Rodrigo Pacheco (6%). A May 12 alliance with presidential hopeful Flávio Bolsonaro bolsters his appeal to conservative voters, positioning him to potentially avoid a runoff or prevail in second-round matchups. Pacheco holds second at 18.5% market odds amid earlier polling strength, while Kalil (8.6%) and others trail; party conventions and August 15 registration deadlines loom as key catalysts ahead of the October 4 first round.
The Minas Gerais gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$16,919End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Apr 27, 2026, 5:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Senator Cleitinho Azevedo commands 56.5% trader consensus as the frontrunner in the Minas Gerais gubernatorial race, reflecting his sustained lead in recent polls like the DOXA survey from May 1-5, where he topped first-round scenarios at 28-30% ahead of Alexandre Kalil (21-24%) and a fragmented field including Mateus Simões (7%) and Rodrigo Pacheco (6%). A May 12 alliance with presidential hopeful Flávio Bolsonaro bolsters his appeal to conservative voters, positioning him to potentially avoid a runoff or prevail in second-round matchups. Pacheco holds second at 18.5% market odds amid earlier polling strength, while Kalil (8.6%) and others trail; party conventions and August 15 registration deadlines loom as key catalysts ahead of the October 4 first round.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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