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Politics·Senate Primary

New Jersey Republican Senate Primary Winner

icon for New Jersey Republican Senate Primary Winner
Politics·Senate Primary

New Jersey Republican Senate Primary Winner

Richard Tabor 48%

Alex Zdan 45%

Robert Lebovics 3.6%

Justin Murphy <1%

Polymarket

$421,238 Vol.

Richard Tabor 48%

Alex Zdan 45%

Robert Lebovics 3.6%

Justin Murphy <1%

Polymarket

$421,238 Vol.

Richard Tabor

$7,588 Vol.

48%

Alex Zdan

$6,638 Vol.

45%

Robert Lebovics

$256,547 Vol.

4%

Justin Murphy

$6,962 Vol.

1%

Steven Boston

$81,275 Vol.

<1%

Natalie Rivera

$44,749 Vol.

<1%

Vinnie Brand

$15,880 Vol.

<1%

Alina Habba

$1,599 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from New Jersey. If no 2026 New Jersey Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the New Jersey Republican party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.The closely matched probabilities for Richard Tabor and Alex Zdan stem from their split of county Republican endorsements in the lead-up to the June 2 primary. Tabor, a state trooper and Army veteran, has secured backing from organizations in Atlantic, Union, and several other counties through recent conventions, while Zdan, a former political reporter, holds support in ten counties and appeals to voters focused on cost-of-living and environmental issues. Minor candidates including Robert Lebovics and Justin Murphy trail far behind with limited organizational strength. Early voting begins May 26, giving both frontrunners a short window to consolidate support in this low-profile contest where local party machinery and turnout among core Republican voters will likely determine separation.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from New Jersey.

If no 2026 New Jersey Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the New Jersey Republican party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$421,238
End Date
Jun 2, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 9, 2026, 12:58 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from New Jersey. If no 2026 New Jersey Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the New Jersey Republican party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from New Jersey. If no 2026 New Jersey Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the New Jersey Republican party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.The closely matched probabilities for Richard Tabor and Alex Zdan stem from their split of county Republican endorsements in the lead-up to the June 2 primary. Tabor, a state trooper and Army veteran, has secured backing from organizations in Atlantic, Union, and several other counties through recent conventions, while Zdan, a former political reporter, holds support in ten counties and appeals to voters focused on cost-of-living and environmental issues. Minor candidates including Robert Lebovics and Justin Murphy trail far behind with limited organizational strength. Early voting begins May 26, giving both frontrunners a short window to consolidate support in this low-profile contest where local party machinery and turnout among core Republican voters will likely determine separation.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from New Jersey.

If no 2026 New Jersey Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the New Jersey Republican party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$421,238
End Date
Jun 2, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 9, 2026, 12:58 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from New Jersey. If no 2026 New Jersey Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the New Jersey Republican party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"New Jersey Republican Senate Primary Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 8 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Richard Tabor" at 48%, followed by "Alex Zdan" at 46%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 48¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 48% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "New Jersey Republican Senate Primary Winner" has generated $421.2K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 9, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "New Jersey Republican Senate Primary Winner," browse the 8 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "New Jersey Republican Senate Primary Winner" is "Richard Tabor" at 48%, meaning the market assigns a 48% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Alex Zdan" at 46%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "New Jersey Republican Senate Primary Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.