Mike Mazzei holds a substantial lead in trader consensus for the August 25 Republican runoff, reflecting the impact of President Trump's endorsement and Mazzei's positioning as a fiscal conservative and former state senator. Gentner Drummond, the sitting attorney general who narrowly led the June 16 primary with 25.9% to Mazzei's 25.5%, trails amid debates over taxes, education policy, and religious charter schools. Recent polling shows a statistical tie or slight edges either way in the two-candidate contest, while lower-polling primary candidates such as Chip Keating and Charles McCall were eliminated earlier. The Trump endorsement and Oklahoma's conservative electorate remain the dominant factors shaping current implied probabilities ahead of the runoff.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedMike Mazzei 71.8%
Genter Drummond 26%
Leisa Mitchell Haynes <1%
Charles McCall <1%
$447,931 Vol.
$447,931 Vol.

Mike Mazzei
72%

Genter Drummond
26%

Leisa Mitchell Haynes
<1%

Charles McCall
<1%

Ryan Walters
<1%

Chip Keating
<1%

Jake Merrick
<1%

Matt Pinnell
<1%
Mike Mazzei 71.8%
Genter Drummond 26%
Leisa Mitchell Haynes <1%
Charles McCall <1%
$447,931 Vol.
$447,931 Vol.

Mike Mazzei
72%

Genter Drummond
26%

Leisa Mitchell Haynes
<1%

Charles McCall
<1%

Ryan Walters
<1%

Chip Keating
<1%

Jake Merrick
<1%

Matt Pinnell
<1%
If no 2026 Oklahoma Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Oklahoma Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Market Opened: Dec 4, 2025, 6:27 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
If no 2026 Oklahoma Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Oklahoma Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Mike Mazzei holds a substantial lead in trader consensus for the August 25 Republican runoff, reflecting the impact of President Trump's endorsement and Mazzei's positioning as a fiscal conservative and former state senator. Gentner Drummond, the sitting attorney general who narrowly led the June 16 primary with 25.9% to Mazzei's 25.5%, trails amid debates over taxes, education policy, and religious charter schools. Recent polling shows a statistical tie or slight edges either way in the two-candidate contest, while lower-polling primary candidates such as Chip Keating and Charles McCall were eliminated earlier. The Trump endorsement and Oklahoma's conservative electorate remain the dominant factors shaping current implied probabilities ahead of the runoff.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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