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icon for Reggio di Calabria By-Election Winner
World·Italy

Reggio di Calabria By-Election Winner

icon for Reggio di Calabria By-Election Winner
World·Italy

Reggio di Calabria By-Election Winner

Fabio Roscioli 72%

Domenico Giannetta 21%

Frank Benedetto 7%

Francesco Toscano 4.5%

Polymarket
NEW

Fabio Roscioli 72%

Domenico Giannetta 21%

Frank Benedetto 7%

Francesco Toscano 4.5%

Polymarket
NEW
icon for Fabio Roscioli

Fabio Roscioli

$140 Vol.

72%

icon for Domenico Giannetta

Domenico Giannetta

$99 Vol.

21%

icon for Frank Benedetto

Frank Benedetto

$319 Vol.

16%

icon for Francesco Toscano

Francesco Toscano

$94 Vol.

4%

A by-election in the single-member constituency of 05 - Reggio di Calabria, in the XXIII Calabria constituency, is scheduled to take place on September 27-28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Reggio di Calabria by-election to the Chamber of Deputies of Italy. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Italian Ministry of the Interior (https://elezioni.interno.gov.it/).Fabio Roscioli holds the clearest lead in trader consensus for the September 27-28 by-election in the Reggio Calabria single-member constituency because he is the official Forza Italia candidate backed by the centre-right coalition that dominates the district. The seat opened after Francesco Cannizzaro resigned following his election as metropolitan mayor, and the area has historically delivered strong support for FI and its allies. Domenico Giannetta’s candidacy for National Future, endorsed by Roberto Vannacci, has split some centre-right support and accounts for his secondary pricing. Frank Benedetto, the converging centre-left choice, trails further amid the coalition’s weaker local base. Francesco Toscano and other listed names register minimal implied probability, reflecting limited organizational strength or late entry. With voting weeks away and turnout typically low in by-elections, traders are pricing the established centre-right advantage while noting risks from vote fragmentation.

A by-election in the single-member constituency of 05 - Reggio di Calabria, in the XXIII Calabria constituency, is scheduled to take place on September 27-28, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Reggio di Calabria by-election to the Chamber of Deputies of Italy.

If the result of this election isn't known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Italian Ministry of the Interior (https://elezioni.interno.gov.it/).
Volume
$652
End Date
Sep 28, 2026
Market Opened
Sep 3, 2026, 5:37 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://elezioni.interno.gov.it/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A by-election in the single-member constituency of 05 - Reggio di Calabria, in the XXIII Calabria constituency, is scheduled to take place on September 27-28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Reggio di Calabria by-election to the Chamber of Deputies of Italy. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Italian Ministry of the Interior (https://elezioni.interno.gov.it/).
A by-election in the single-member constituency of 05 - Reggio di Calabria, in the XXIII Calabria constituency, is scheduled to take place on September 27-28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Reggio di Calabria by-election to the Chamber of Deputies of Italy. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Italian Ministry of the Interior (https://elezioni.interno.gov.it/).Fabio Roscioli holds the clearest lead in trader consensus for the September 27-28 by-election in the Reggio Calabria single-member constituency because he is the official Forza Italia candidate backed by the centre-right coalition that dominates the district. The seat opened after Francesco Cannizzaro resigned following his election as metropolitan mayor, and the area has historically delivered strong support for FI and its allies. Domenico Giannetta’s candidacy for National Future, endorsed by Roberto Vannacci, has split some centre-right support and accounts for his secondary pricing. Frank Benedetto, the converging centre-left choice, trails further amid the coalition’s weaker local base. Francesco Toscano and other listed names register minimal implied probability, reflecting limited organizational strength or late entry. With voting weeks away and turnout typically low in by-elections, traders are pricing the established centre-right advantage while noting risks from vote fragmentation.

A by-election in the single-member constituency of 05 - Reggio di Calabria, in the XXIII Calabria constituency, is scheduled to take place on September 27-28, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Reggio di Calabria by-election to the Chamber of Deputies of Italy.

If the result of this election isn't known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Italian Ministry of the Interior (https://elezioni.interno.gov.it/).
Volume
$652
End Date
Sep 28, 2026
Market Opened
Sep 3, 2026, 5:37 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://elezioni.interno.gov.it/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A by-election in the single-member constituency of 05 - Reggio di Calabria, in the XXIII Calabria constituency, is scheduled to take place on September 27-28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Reggio di Calabria by-election to the Chamber of Deputies of Italy. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Italian Ministry of the Interior (https://elezioni.interno.gov.it/).

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Reggio di Calabria By-Election Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 4 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Fabio Roscioli" at 72%, followed by "Domenico Giannetta" at 21%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 72¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 72% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Reggio di Calabria By-Election Winner" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Sep 3, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Reggio di Calabria By-Election Winner," browse the 4 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Reggio di Calabria By-Election Winner" is "Fabio Roscioli" at 72%, meaning the market assigns a 72% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Domenico Giannetta" at 21%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Reggio di Calabria By-Election Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.