Recent polling has established U.S. Representative Dusty Johnson as the frontrunner in South Dakota’s June 2 Republican gubernatorial primary, with support approaching the 35 percent threshold needed to win outright and avoid a runoff. An April survey of likely GOP voters placed Johnson at 34 percent, well ahead of state House Speaker Jon Hansen, incumbent Governor Larry Rhoden, and businessman Toby Doeden, who remain effectively tied in the low-to-mid teens. April debates highlighted policy differences on education funding, school performance, and state budget priorities, reinforcing Johnson’s lead while positioning Doeden as the primary alternative in a potential second-round contest. These trends have informed trader consensus around Johnson’s advantage alongside the possibility of a runoff scenario.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedDusty Johnson 64%
Toby Doeden 19%
Jon Hansen 5.3%
Larry Rhoden 4.5%
$57,850 Vol.
$57,850 Vol.
Dusty Johnson
64%
Toby Doeden
22%
Jon Hansen
5%
Larry Rhoden
5%
Dusty Johnson 64%
Toby Doeden 19%
Jon Hansen 5.3%
Larry Rhoden 4.5%
$57,850 Vol.
$57,850 Vol.
Dusty Johnson
64%
Toby Doeden
22%
Jon Hansen
5%
Larry Rhoden
5%
If no 2026 South Dakota Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the South Dakota Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Market Opened: Dec 10, 2025, 11:44 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 South Dakota Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the South Dakota Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent polling has established U.S. Representative Dusty Johnson as the frontrunner in South Dakota’s June 2 Republican gubernatorial primary, with support approaching the 35 percent threshold needed to win outright and avoid a runoff. An April survey of likely GOP voters placed Johnson at 34 percent, well ahead of state House Speaker Jon Hansen, incumbent Governor Larry Rhoden, and businessman Toby Doeden, who remain effectively tied in the low-to-mid teens. April debates highlighted policy differences on education funding, school performance, and state budget priorities, reinforcing Johnson’s lead while positioning Doeden as the primary alternative in a potential second-round contest. These trends have informed trader consensus around Johnson’s advantage alongside the possibility of a runoff scenario.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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