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Politics·South Carolina

South Carolina Governor Republican Primary Runoff Margin of Victory

icon for South Carolina Governor Republican Primary Runoff Margin of Victory
Politics·South Carolina

South Carolina Governor Republican Primary Runoff Margin of Victory

Wilson 15%+ 90.5%

Wilson 10–15% 6.3%

Wilson 5–10% 1.1%

Wilson <5% <1%

Polymarket
NEW

$23,151 Vol.

Wilson 15%+ 90.5%

Wilson 10–15% 6.3%

Wilson 5–10% 1.1%

Wilson <5% <1%

Polymarket
NEW

$23,151 Vol.

Evette 15%+

$1,029 Vol.

1%

Evette 10–15%

$1,090 Vol.

<1%

Evette 5–10%

$1,046 Vol.

1%

Evette <5%

$768 Vol.

<1%

Wilson <5%

$2,221 Vol.

1%

Wilson 5–10%

$1,960 Vol.

1%

Wilson 10–15%

$2,080 Vol.

6%

Wilson 15%+

$12,957 Vol.

90%

The South Carolina Gubernatorial Republican primary runoff election is scheduled for June 23, 2026. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the South Carolina Republican Gubernatorial Primary runoff election. For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket. If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.. If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of South Carolina, such as official statewide results published by the South Carolina Election Commission (https://scvotes.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.**The Republican runoff for South Carolina governor on June 23 remains highly competitive, with Lt. Gov. Pamela Evette and Attorney General Alan Wilson advancing from a June 9 primary where they finished just 2.7 points apart at 28.9% and 26.2%.** Trader pricing across narrow and wide margin buckets for either candidate reflects this parity, amplified by a contentious final debate featuring personal attacks and policy clashes. Evette holds the Trump endorsement while Wilson draws other Republican support, creating divided coalitions in an open-seat race after term limits ended Henry McMaster’s tenure. Low remaining time until voting, uncertain turnout among primary voters, and limited fresh polling sustain the tight implied probabilities, with separation likely hinging on last-minute mobilization or regional voting patterns in the five-day window.

The South Carolina Gubernatorial Republican primary runoff election is scheduled for June 23, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the South Carolina Republican Gubernatorial Primary runoff election.

For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.

If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”

This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official..

If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of South Carolina, such as official statewide results published by the South Carolina Election Commission (https://scvotes.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Volume
$23,151
End Date
Jun 24, 2026
Market Opened
Jun 18, 2026, 3:34 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The South Carolina Gubernatorial Republican primary runoff election is scheduled for June 23, 2026. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the South Carolina Republican Gubernatorial Primary runoff election. For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket. If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.. If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of South Carolina, such as official statewide results published by the South Carolina Election Commission (https://scvotes.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The South Carolina Gubernatorial Republican primary runoff election is scheduled for June 23, 2026. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the South Carolina Republican Gubernatorial Primary runoff election. For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket. If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.. If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of South Carolina, such as official statewide results published by the South Carolina Election Commission (https://scvotes.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.**The Republican runoff for South Carolina governor on June 23 remains highly competitive, with Lt. Gov. Pamela Evette and Attorney General Alan Wilson advancing from a June 9 primary where they finished just 2.7 points apart at 28.9% and 26.2%.** Trader pricing across narrow and wide margin buckets for either candidate reflects this parity, amplified by a contentious final debate featuring personal attacks and policy clashes. Evette holds the Trump endorsement while Wilson draws other Republican support, creating divided coalitions in an open-seat race after term limits ended Henry McMaster’s tenure. Low remaining time until voting, uncertain turnout among primary voters, and limited fresh polling sustain the tight implied probabilities, with separation likely hinging on last-minute mobilization or regional voting patterns in the five-day window.

The South Carolina Gubernatorial Republican primary runoff election is scheduled for June 23, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the South Carolina Republican Gubernatorial Primary runoff election.

For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.

If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”

This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official..

If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of South Carolina, such as official statewide results published by the South Carolina Election Commission (https://scvotes.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Volume
$23,151
End Date
Jun 24, 2026
Market Opened
Jun 18, 2026, 3:34 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The South Carolina Gubernatorial Republican primary runoff election is scheduled for June 23, 2026. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the South Carolina Republican Gubernatorial Primary runoff election. For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket. If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.. If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of South Carolina, such as official statewide results published by the South Carolina Election Commission (https://scvotes.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"South Carolina Governor Republican Primary Runoff Margin of Victory" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 8 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Wilson 15%+" at 90%, followed by "Wilson 10–15%" at 6%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 90¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 90% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "South Carolina Governor Republican Primary Runoff Margin of Victory" has generated $23.2K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jun 18, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "South Carolina Governor Republican Primary Runoff Margin of Victory," browse the 8 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "South Carolina Governor Republican Primary Runoff Margin of Victory" is "Wilson 15%+" at 90%, meaning the market assigns a 90% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Wilson 10–15%" at 6%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "South Carolina Governor Republican Primary Runoff Margin of Victory" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.