President Donald Trump's state visit to China, underway as of May 13, 2026, with arrival in Beijing for a summit with Xi Jinping, marks his second confirmed international trip this year and drives trader consensus toward high probabilities for that outcome. The visit, delayed from April amid escalating US tensions in the Iran conflict, focuses on trade, Taiwan, technology, and de-escalation efforts. His sole prior 2026 foreign travel was to Switzerland in January for the World Economic Forum in Davos. With the year halfway through, traders weigh ongoing geopolitical priorities—including the Iran war and domestic focus—against potential future diplomacy like G20 preparations, though no other trips are officially scheduled.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$433,619 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
United Kingdom
82%
Israel
49%
Canada
30%
Mexico
22%
Saudi Arabia
35%
Japan
48%
Germany
53%
South Korea
38%
France
91%
Russia
16%
Ukraine
18%
Taiwan
4%
Italy
24%
Oman
13%
India
23%
Belarus
12%
Turkey
74%
Syria
9%
North Korea
12%
Ireland
48%
Pakistan
16%
Lebanon
4%
$433,619 Vol.
United Kingdom
$6,348 Vol.
82%
Israel
$22,710 Vol.
49%
Canada
$3,373 Vol.
30%
Mexico
$3,541 Vol.
22%
Saudi Arabia
$282 Vol.
35%
Japan
$10,987 Vol.
48%
Germany
$11,638 Vol.
53%
South Korea
$4,593 Vol.
38%
France
$14,614 Vol.
91%
Russia
$6,567 Vol.
16%
Ukraine
$5,386 Vol.
18%
Taiwan
$82,365 Vol.
4%
Italy
$29,372 Vol.
24%
Oman
$2,917 Vol.
13%
India
$6,385 Vol.
23%
Belarus
$1,791 Vol.
12%
Turkey
$13,351 Vol.
74%
Syria
$600 Vol.
9%
North Korea
$5,071 Vol.
12%
Ireland
$830 Vol.
48%
Pakistan
$3,454 Vol.
16%
Lebanon
$21,449 Vol.
4%
If U.S. President Donald Trump visits a listed country between January 1 and December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, the relevant market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the listed country. Whether or not Trump enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.If U.S. President Donald Trump visits a listed country between the creation of this market and December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, the relevant market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the listed country. Whether or not Trump enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.President Donald Trump's state visit to China, underway as of May 13, 2026, with arrival in Beijing for a summit with Xi Jinping, marks his second confirmed international trip this year and drives trader consensus toward high probabilities for that outcome. The visit, delayed from April amid escalating US tensions in the Iran conflict, focuses on trade, Taiwan, technology, and de-escalation efforts. His sole prior 2026 foreign travel was to Switzerland in January for the World Economic Forum in Davos. With the year halfway through, traders weigh ongoing geopolitical priorities—including the Iran war and domestic focus—against potential future diplomacy like G20 preparations, though no other trips are officially scheduled.
If U.S. President Donald Trump visits a listed country between January 1 and December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, the relevant market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the listed country. Whether or not Trump enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the listed country. Whether or not Trump enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Market Opened: Nov 5, 2025, 11:21 AM ET
Volume
$433,619End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Nov 5, 2025, 11:21 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...If U.S. President Donald Trump visits a listed country between January 1 and December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, the relevant market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the listed country. Whether or not Trump enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.If U.S. President Donald Trump visits a listed country between the creation of this market and December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, the relevant market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the listed country. Whether or not Trump enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.President Donald Trump's state visit to China, underway as of May 13, 2026, with arrival in Beijing for a summit with Xi Jinping, marks his second confirmed international trip this year and drives trader consensus toward high probabilities for that outcome. The visit, delayed from April amid escalating US tensions in the Iran conflict, focuses on trade, Taiwan, technology, and de-escalation efforts. His sole prior 2026 foreign travel was to Switzerland in January for the World Economic Forum in Davos. With the year halfway through, traders weigh ongoing geopolitical priorities—including the Iran war and domestic focus—against potential future diplomacy like G20 preparations, though no other trips are officially scheduled.
If U.S. President Donald Trump visits a listed country between January 1 and December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, the relevant market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the listed country. Whether or not Trump enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the listed country. Whether or not Trump enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$433,619End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Nov 5, 2025, 11:21 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Donald Trump's state visit to China, underway as of May 13, 2026, with arrival in Beijing for a summit with Xi Jinping, marks his second confirmed international trip this year and drives trader consensus toward high probabilities for that outcome. The visit, delayed from April amid escalating US tensions in the Iran conflict, focuses on trade, Taiwan, technology, and de-escalation efforts. His sole prior 2026 foreign travel was to Switzerland in January for the World Economic Forum in Davos. With the year halfway through, traders weigh ongoing geopolitical priorities—including the Iran war and domestic focus—against potential future diplomacy like G20 preparations, though no other trips are officially scheduled.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions