The high constitutional threshold for amending the 22nd Amendment, which limits presidents to two elected terms, drives trader expectations that no repeal will occur in 2026. Any change requires two-thirds majorities in both chambers of Congress followed by ratification in three-quarters of the states, a process that has succeeded only once in U.S. history. A 2025 House resolution introduced by Representative Andy Ogles to permit a third term after nonconsecutive service advanced no further in committee, and no comparable measure has gained traction in the current Congress. President Trump has publicly discussed interest in additional time in office, yet no legislative or state-level coalition has emerged to advance repeal legislation. These structural barriers and the absence of recent procedural progress sustain the current market pricing.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNEW
NEW
Dec 31, 2026
NEW
NEW
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump signs any bill into law that aims to repeal or alter presidential term limits as defined by the 22nd Amendment to the U.S. Constitution, such a bill is otherwise passed into law, or if the U.S. Supreme Court rules in a way that would permit a president to serve more than two terms by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Any law signed meeting these criteria will count, even if its implementation is immediately halted or delayed by judicial or other actions.
This market's resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration and U.S. Supreme Court decisions.The high constitutional threshold for amending the 22nd Amendment, which limits presidents to two elected terms, drives trader expectations that no repeal will occur in 2026. Any change requires two-thirds majorities in both chambers of Congress followed by ratification in three-quarters of the states, a process that has succeeded only once in U.S. history. A 2025 House resolution introduced by Representative Andy Ogles to permit a third term after nonconsecutive service advanced no further in committee, and no comparable measure has gained traction in the current Congress. President Trump has publicly discussed interest in additional time in office, yet no legislative or state-level coalition has emerged to advance repeal legislation. These structural barriers and the absence of recent procedural progress sustain the current market pricing.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump signs any bill into law that aims to repeal or alter presidential term limits as defined by the 22nd Amendment to the U.S. Constitution, such a bill is otherwise passed into law, or if the U.S. Supreme Court rules in a way that would permit a president to serve more than two terms by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Any law signed meeting these criteria will count, even if its implementation is immediately halted or delayed by judicial or other actions.
This market's resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration and U.S. Supreme Court decisions.
Any law signed meeting these criteria will count, even if its implementation is immediately halted or delayed by judicial or other actions.
This market's resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration and U.S. Supreme Court decisions.
Market Opened: Feb 2, 2026, 5:18 PM ET
Volume
$9,532End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Feb 2, 2026, 5:18 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump signs any bill into law that aims to repeal or alter presidential term limits as defined by the 22nd Amendment to the U.S. Constitution, such a bill is otherwise passed into law, or if the U.S. Supreme Court rules in a way that would permit a president to serve more than two terms by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Any law signed meeting these criteria will count, even if its implementation is immediately halted or delayed by judicial or other actions.
This market's resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration and U.S. Supreme Court decisions.The high constitutional threshold for amending the 22nd Amendment, which limits presidents to two elected terms, drives trader expectations that no repeal will occur in 2026. Any change requires two-thirds majorities in both chambers of Congress followed by ratification in three-quarters of the states, a process that has succeeded only once in U.S. history. A 2025 House resolution introduced by Representative Andy Ogles to permit a third term after nonconsecutive service advanced no further in committee, and no comparable measure has gained traction in the current Congress. President Trump has publicly discussed interest in additional time in office, yet no legislative or state-level coalition has emerged to advance repeal legislation. These structural barriers and the absence of recent procedural progress sustain the current market pricing.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump signs any bill into law that aims to repeal or alter presidential term limits as defined by the 22nd Amendment to the U.S. Constitution, such a bill is otherwise passed into law, or if the U.S. Supreme Court rules in a way that would permit a president to serve more than two terms by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Any law signed meeting these criteria will count, even if its implementation is immediately halted or delayed by judicial or other actions.
This market's resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration and U.S. Supreme Court decisions.
Any law signed meeting these criteria will count, even if its implementation is immediately halted or delayed by judicial or other actions.
This market's resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration and U.S. Supreme Court decisions.
Volume
$9,532End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Feb 2, 2026, 5:18 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The high constitutional threshold for amending the 22nd Amendment, which limits presidents to two elected terms, drives trader expectations that no repeal will occur in 2026. Any change requires two-thirds majorities in both chambers of Congress followed by ratification in three-quarters of the states, a process that has succeeded only once in U.S. history. A 2025 House resolution introduced by Representative Andy Ogles to permit a third term after nonconsecutive service advanced no further in committee, and no comparable measure has gained traction in the current Congress. President Trump has publicly discussed interest in additional time in office, yet no legislative or state-level coalition has emerged to advance repeal legislation. These structural barriers and the absence of recent procedural progress sustain the current market pricing.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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