Former South Korean President Yoon Suk-yeol remains in custody following a February 2026 life sentence for insurrection tied to his December 2024 martial law declaration, compounded by a June 2026 30-year term for related drone operations and a Supreme Court-upheld seven-year penalty in July for obstructing justice and related offenses. Ongoing appeals in these cases, plus additional proceedings, have produced no successful bail or release orders since his last detention period. Recent September 2026 acquittals on separate perjury and abuse-of-power counts have not altered the primary convictions or created an immediate release pathway. With the resolution tied to custody status at year-end 2026 and no scheduled executive actions or procedural shifts indicated, trader consensus prices a high likelihood of continued detention.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedYoon out of custody before 2027?
Yoon out of custody before 2027?
7% chance
$204,997 Vol.
$204,997 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
7% chance
$204,997 Vol.
$204,997 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of South Korea Yoon Suk Yeol is released from custody by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Former South Korean President Yoon Suk-yeol remains in custody following a February 2026 life sentence for insurrection tied to his December 2024 martial law declaration, compounded by a June 2026 30-year term for related drone operations and a Supreme Court-upheld seven-year penalty in July for obstructing justice and related offenses. Ongoing appeals in these cases, plus additional proceedings, have produced no successful bail or release orders since his last detention period. Recent September 2026 acquittals on separate perjury and abuse-of-power counts have not altered the primary convictions or created an immediate release pathway. With the resolution tied to custody status at year-end 2026 and no scheduled executive actions or procedural shifts indicated, trader consensus prices a high likelihood of continued detention.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of South Korea Yoon Suk Yeol is released from custody by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Nov 5, 2025, 2:42 PM ET
Volume
$204,997End Date
Jan 1, 2027Market Opened
Nov 5, 2025, 2:42 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of South Korea Yoon Suk Yeol is released from custody by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Former South Korean President Yoon Suk-yeol remains in custody following a February 2026 life sentence for insurrection tied to his December 2024 martial law declaration, compounded by a June 2026 30-year term for related drone operations and a Supreme Court-upheld seven-year penalty in July for obstructing justice and related offenses. Ongoing appeals in these cases, plus additional proceedings, have produced no successful bail or release orders since his last detention period. Recent September 2026 acquittals on separate perjury and abuse-of-power counts have not altered the primary convictions or created an immediate release pathway. With the resolution tied to custody status at year-end 2026 and no scheduled executive actions or procedural shifts indicated, trader consensus prices a high likelihood of continued detention.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of South Korea Yoon Suk Yeol is released from custody by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$204,997End Date
Jan 1, 2027Market Opened
Nov 5, 2025, 2:42 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Former South Korean President Yoon Suk-yeol remains in custody following a February 2026 life sentence for insurrection tied to his December 2024 martial law declaration, compounded by a June 2026 30-year term for related drone operations and a Supreme Court-upheld seven-year penalty in July for obstructing justice and related offenses. Ongoing appeals in these cases, plus additional proceedings, have produced no successful bail or release orders since his last detention period. Recent September 2026 acquittals on separate perjury and abuse-of-power counts have not altered the primary convictions or created an immediate release pathway. With the resolution tied to custody status at year-end 2026 and no scheduled executive actions or procedural shifts indicated, trader consensus prices a high likelihood of continued detention.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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