South Korea’s former president Yoon Suk-yeol remains in custody following multiple 2026 convictions tied to his December 2024 martial law declaration, including a life sentence for insurrection, a 30-year term for ordering provocative drone flights over North Korea, and a seven-year sentence upheld by the Supreme Court in July for obstruction and resisting arrest. These rulings, issued after his impeachment and removal by the Constitutional Court, have produced cumulative penalties far exceeding the 2026 resolution window, with appeals continuing but no automatic release pending review under South Korean procedures. Recent developments, such as ongoing perjury proceedings and the absence of any pardon or successful early reversal, reinforce trader consensus that Yoon will not exit custody before December 31, 2026.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedYoon out of custody before 2027?
Yoon out of custody before 2027?
8% chance
$200,931 Vol.
$200,931 Vol.
Dec 30, 2026
8% chance
$200,931 Vol.
$200,931 Vol.
Dec 30, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of South Korea Yoon Suk Yeol is released from custody by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.South Korea’s former president Yoon Suk-yeol remains in custody following multiple 2026 convictions tied to his December 2024 martial law declaration, including a life sentence for insurrection, a 30-year term for ordering provocative drone flights over North Korea, and a seven-year sentence upheld by the Supreme Court in July for obstruction and resisting arrest. These rulings, issued after his impeachment and removal by the Constitutional Court, have produced cumulative penalties far exceeding the 2026 resolution window, with appeals continuing but no automatic release pending review under South Korean procedures. Recent developments, such as ongoing perjury proceedings and the absence of any pardon or successful early reversal, reinforce trader consensus that Yoon will not exit custody before December 31, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of South Korea Yoon Suk Yeol is released from custody by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Nov 5, 2025, 2:42 PM ET
Volume
$200,931End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Nov 5, 2025, 2:42 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of South Korea Yoon Suk Yeol is released from custody by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.South Korea’s former president Yoon Suk-yeol remains in custody following multiple 2026 convictions tied to his December 2024 martial law declaration, including a life sentence for insurrection, a 30-year term for ordering provocative drone flights over North Korea, and a seven-year sentence upheld by the Supreme Court in July for obstruction and resisting arrest. These rulings, issued after his impeachment and removal by the Constitutional Court, have produced cumulative penalties far exceeding the 2026 resolution window, with appeals continuing but no automatic release pending review under South Korean procedures. Recent developments, such as ongoing perjury proceedings and the absence of any pardon or successful early reversal, reinforce trader consensus that Yoon will not exit custody before December 31, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of South Korea Yoon Suk Yeol is released from custody by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$200,931End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Nov 5, 2025, 2:42 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...South Korea’s former president Yoon Suk-yeol remains in custody following multiple 2026 convictions tied to his December 2024 martial law declaration, including a life sentence for insurrection, a 30-year term for ordering provocative drone flights over North Korea, and a seven-year sentence upheld by the Supreme Court in July for obstruction and resisting arrest. These rulings, issued after his impeachment and removal by the Constitutional Court, have produced cumulative penalties far exceeding the 2026 resolution window, with appeals continuing but no automatic release pending review under South Korean procedures. Recent developments, such as ongoing perjury proceedings and the absence of any pardon or successful early reversal, reinforce trader consensus that Yoon will not exit custody before December 31, 2026.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions