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icon for Abelardo de la Espriella vote share in 2026 Colombian presidential first round?
Élections·Vote Share

Abelardo de la Espriella vote share in 2026 Colombian presidential first round?

icon for Abelardo de la Espriella vote share in 2026 Colombian presidential first round?
Élections·Vote Share

Abelardo de la Espriella vote share in 2026 Colombian presidential first round?

40-45% 98.3%

45%+ 2.2%

<20% <1%

20-25% <1%

Polymarket

$13,642 Vol.

40-45% 98.3%

45%+ 2.2%

<20% <1%

20-25% <1%

Polymarket

$13,642 Vol.

<20%

$1,018 Vol.

1%

20-25%

$1,702 Vol.

<1%

25-30%

$1,781 Vol.

<1%

30-35%

$1,245 Vol.

<1%

35-40%

$1,806 Vol.

<1%

40-45%

$2,976 Vol.

98%

45%+

$3,114 Vol.

2%

Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Abelardo de la Espriella wins in the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official. This market's resolution will be based solely on the proportion of valid votes won by Abelardo de la Espriella, not any coalition of which he may be a part. If the results of the election aren’t known by December 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.Abelardo de la Espriella secured 43.7–44% of the vote in Colombia’s May 31 first-round presidential election, placing him comfortably inside the 40–45% range that now dominates trader pricing. Certified results from the National Electoral Commission confirmed his plurality ahead of Iván Cepeda’s 40.9–41%, reflecting a late surge driven by security-focused messaging that consolidated right-leaning support and outperformed earlier polling averages. Endorsements from eliminated candidates such as Paloma Valencia and former presidents Álvaro Uribe and Iván Duque further anchored expectations around this outcome. Because official tallies with over 99% of ballots counted have already been published and accepted, the probability of any other bin remains negligible. Only an extraordinary post-certification recount or court-ordered adjustment exceeding several percentage points could shift the recorded first-round share.

Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Abelardo de la Espriella wins in the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the proportion of valid votes won by Abelardo de la Espriella, not any coalition of which he may be a part.

If the results of the election aren’t known by December 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
Volume
$13,642
Date de fin
31 mai 2026
Marché ouvert
May 27, 2026, 10:15 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Abelardo de la Espriella wins in the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official. This market's resolution will be based solely on the proportion of valid votes won by Abelardo de la Espriella, not any coalition of which he may be a part. If the results of the election aren’t known by December 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Abelardo de la Espriella wins in the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official. This market's resolution will be based solely on the proportion of valid votes won by Abelardo de la Espriella, not any coalition of which he may be a part. If the results of the election aren’t known by December 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.Abelardo de la Espriella secured 43.7–44% of the vote in Colombia’s May 31 first-round presidential election, placing him comfortably inside the 40–45% range that now dominates trader pricing. Certified results from the National Electoral Commission confirmed his plurality ahead of Iván Cepeda’s 40.9–41%, reflecting a late surge driven by security-focused messaging that consolidated right-leaning support and outperformed earlier polling averages. Endorsements from eliminated candidates such as Paloma Valencia and former presidents Álvaro Uribe and Iván Duque further anchored expectations around this outcome. Because official tallies with over 99% of ballots counted have already been published and accepted, the probability of any other bin remains negligible. Only an extraordinary post-certification recount or court-ordered adjustment exceeding several percentage points could shift the recorded first-round share.

Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Abelardo de la Espriella wins in the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the proportion of valid votes won by Abelardo de la Espriella, not any coalition of which he may be a part.

If the results of the election aren’t known by December 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
Volume
$13,642
Date de fin
31 mai 2026
Marché ouvert
May 27, 2026, 10:15 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Abelardo de la Espriella wins in the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official. This market's resolution will be based solely on the proportion of valid votes won by Abelardo de la Espriella, not any coalition of which he may be a part. If the results of the election aren’t known by December 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

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Questions fréquentes

« Abelardo de la Espriella vote share in 2026 Colombian presidential first round? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 7 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « 40-45% » à 98%, suivi de « 45%+ » à 2%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 98¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 98% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Abelardo de la Espriella vote share in 2026 Colombian presidential first round? » a généré $13.6K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le May 28, 2026. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Abelardo de la Espriella vote share in 2026 Colombian presidential first round? », parcourez les 7 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Abelardo de la Espriella vote share in 2026 Colombian presidential first round? » est « 40-45% » à 98%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 98% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « 45%+ » à 2%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Abelardo de la Espriella vote share in 2026 Colombian presidential first round? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.