The closely contested June 21 runoff between right-wing candidate Abelardo de la Espriella and left-wing candidate Iván Cepeda has sustained high public engagement following the May 31 first round, where turnout reached a record 57.89% of registered voters. Polarization between the two finalists, combined with coalition-building efforts and mobilization of the substantial abstainer pool from the initial vote, supports expectations that participation will rise modestly into the low-to-mid 60% range. Recent polling and campaign activity show both sides focusing on turnout operations in key regions, while the absence of major disruptions or legal challenges since the first round has preserved momentum. The 60-64% bracket leads market pricing because it aligns with historical patterns in Colombia's polarized runoffs and the visible intensity of current voter outreach, whereas lower ranges reflect the possibility that fatigue or logistical factors could limit gains over the first-round baseline.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour60-64 % 59%
56-60 % 36%
64 %+ 4.2%
52-56 % 3.0%
$13,462 Vol.
$13,462 Vol.
22 juin 2026
<52 %
1%
52-56 %
3%
56-60 %
36%
60-64 %
59%
64 %+
4%
60-64 % 59%
56-60 % 36%
64 %+ 4.2%
52-56 % 3.0%
$13,462 Vol.
$13,462 Vol.
22 juin 2026
<52 %
$828 Vol.
1%
52-56 %
$678 Vol.
3%
56-60 %
$3,034 Vol.
36%
60-64 %
$5,609 Vol.
59%
64 %+
$3,313 Vol.
4%
The second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election is currently scheduled for June 21, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Colombian government, including Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).The closely contested June 21 runoff between right-wing candidate Abelardo de la Espriella and left-wing candidate Iván Cepeda has sustained high public engagement following the May 31 first round, where turnout reached a record 57.89% of registered voters. Polarization between the two finalists, combined with coalition-building efforts and mobilization of the substantial abstainer pool from the initial vote, supports expectations that participation will rise modestly into the low-to-mid 60% range. Recent polling and campaign activity show both sides focusing on turnout operations in key regions, while the absence of major disruptions or legal challenges since the first round has preserved momentum. The 60-64% bracket leads market pricing because it aligns with historical patterns in Colombia's polarized runoffs and the visible intensity of current voter outreach, whereas lower ranges reflect the possibility that fatigue or logistical factors could limit gains over the first-round baseline.
The second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election is currently scheduled for June 21, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Colombian government, including Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Colombian government, including Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Marché ouvert : Jun 5, 2026, 3:39 PM ET
Volume
$13,462Date de fin
22 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 5, 2026, 3:39 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election is currently scheduled for June 21, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Colombian government, including Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).The closely contested June 21 runoff between right-wing candidate Abelardo de la Espriella and left-wing candidate Iván Cepeda has sustained high public engagement following the May 31 first round, where turnout reached a record 57.89% of registered voters. Polarization between the two finalists, combined with coalition-building efforts and mobilization of the substantial abstainer pool from the initial vote, supports expectations that participation will rise modestly into the low-to-mid 60% range. Recent polling and campaign activity show both sides focusing on turnout operations in key regions, while the absence of major disruptions or legal challenges since the first round has preserved momentum. The 60-64% bracket leads market pricing because it aligns with historical patterns in Colombia's polarized runoffs and the visible intensity of current voter outreach, whereas lower ranges reflect the possibility that fatigue or logistical factors could limit gains over the first-round baseline.
The second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election is currently scheduled for June 21, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Colombian government, including Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Colombian government, including Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Volume
$13,462Date de fin
22 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 5, 2026, 3:39 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The closely contested June 21 runoff between right-wing candidate Abelardo de la Espriella and left-wing candidate Iván Cepeda has sustained high public engagement following the May 31 first round, where turnout reached a record 57.89% of registered voters. Polarization between the two finalists, combined with coalition-building efforts and mobilization of the substantial abstainer pool from the initial vote, supports expectations that participation will rise modestly into the low-to-mid 60% range. Recent polling and campaign activity show both sides focusing on turnout operations in key regions, while the absence of major disruptions or legal challenges since the first round has preserved momentum. The 60-64% bracket leads market pricing because it aligns with historical patterns in Colombia's polarized runoffs and the visible intensity of current voter outreach, whereas lower ranges reflect the possibility that fatigue or logistical factors could limit gains over the first-round baseline.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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