The even partisan voter index and toss-up ratings from nonpartisan forecasters position Michigan's 7th congressional district as one of the most competitive House races in the 2026 cycle, with incumbent Republican Tom Barrett seeking a second term against a developing Democratic field ahead of the August 4 primary. Recent internal polling shows multiple Democratic contenders running even or slightly ahead of Barrett in head-to-head general-election matchups, reflecting the district's history of narrow margins and its status as a key battleground in a midterm environment. Traders appear to assign substantial weight to the open Democratic primary dynamics, heavy outside investment in the race, and the structural advantages historically enjoyed by the opposition party in midterm elections, driving the strong implied probability for a Democratic outcome while leaving limited room for Republican retention.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourMI-07 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
MI-07 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
4 nov. 2026
Parti démocrate
82%
Parti républicain
18%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
4 nov. 2026
Parti démocrate
$4,478 Vol.
82%
Parti républicain
$1,912 Vol.
18%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The even partisan voter index and toss-up ratings from nonpartisan forecasters position Michigan's 7th congressional district as one of the most competitive House races in the 2026 cycle, with incumbent Republican Tom Barrett seeking a second term against a developing Democratic field ahead of the August 4 primary. Recent internal polling shows multiple Democratic contenders running even or slightly ahead of Barrett in head-to-head general-election matchups, reflecting the district's history of narrow margins and its status as a key battleground in a midterm environment. Traders appear to assign substantial weight to the open Democratic primary dynamics, heavy outside investment in the race, and the structural advantages historically enjoyed by the opposition party in midterm elections, driving the strong implied probability for a Democratic outcome while leaving limited room for Republican retention.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Dec 16, 2025, 12:01 PM ET
Volume
$6,390Date de fin
4 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Dec 16, 2025, 12:01 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The even partisan voter index and toss-up ratings from nonpartisan forecasters position Michigan's 7th congressional district as one of the most competitive House races in the 2026 cycle, with incumbent Republican Tom Barrett seeking a second term against a developing Democratic field ahead of the August 4 primary. Recent internal polling shows multiple Democratic contenders running even or slightly ahead of Barrett in head-to-head general-election matchups, reflecting the district's history of narrow margins and its status as a key battleground in a midterm environment. Traders appear to assign substantial weight to the open Democratic primary dynamics, heavy outside investment in the race, and the structural advantages historically enjoyed by the opposition party in midterm elections, driving the strong implied probability for a Democratic outcome while leaving limited room for Republican retention.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$6,390Date de fin
4 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Dec 16, 2025, 12:01 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The even partisan voter index and toss-up ratings from nonpartisan forecasters position Michigan's 7th congressional district as one of the most competitive House races in the 2026 cycle, with incumbent Republican Tom Barrett seeking a second term against a developing Democratic field ahead of the August 4 primary. Recent internal polling shows multiple Democratic contenders running even or slightly ahead of Barrett in head-to-head general-election matchups, reflecting the district's history of narrow margins and its status as a key battleground in a midterm environment. Traders appear to assign substantial weight to the open Democratic primary dynamics, heavy outside investment in the race, and the structural advantages historically enjoyed by the opposition party in midterm elections, driving the strong implied probability for a Democratic outcome while leaving limited room for Republican retention.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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