Fábio (Mitidieri, PSD), the incumbent governor seeking re-election, holds a commanding position in the Sergipe gubernatorial race with recent polls from early to mid-September showing him at 41-48% in the first round, well ahead of main challenger Valmir de Francisquinho (Republicanos) at 25-37% and Ricardo Marques (PL) further back. This underpins the elevated trader consensus around Fábio, reflecting his established name recognition, coalition support, and consistent polling edge ahead of the October 4 first-round vote. Valmir remains the clearest alternative but trails significantly in head-to-head scenarios. Minor candidates including Emanuel Cacho, Dr. Helton, and Taty Cristina register negligible support, consistent with their low implied probabilities. Campaign activities continue with candidate agendas and interviews, though no major late shifts have altered the standings.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourFábio 77%
Valmir de Francisquinho 17%
Emanuel Cacho <1%
Taty Cristina de Jesus <1%
$29,109 Vol.
$29,109 Vol.
4 oct. 2026
Fábio
77%
Valmir de Francisquinho
17%
Emanuel Cacho
<1%
Taty Cristina de Jesus
<1%
Dr Helton
<1%
Ricardo Marques
<1%
Fábio 77%
Valmir de Francisquinho 17%
Emanuel Cacho <1%
Taty Cristina de Jesus <1%
$29,109 Vol.
$29,109 Vol.
4 oct. 2026
Fábio
$18,867 Vol.
77%
Valmir de Francisquinho
$6,563 Vol.
17%
Emanuel Cacho
$634 Vol.
<1%
Taty Cristina de Jesus
$1,702 Vol.
<1%
Dr Helton
$900 Vol.
<1%
Ricardo Marques
$443 Vol.
<1%
The Sergipe gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Fábio (Mitidieri, PSD), the incumbent governor seeking re-election, holds a commanding position in the Sergipe gubernatorial race with recent polls from early to mid-September showing him at 41-48% in the first round, well ahead of main challenger Valmir de Francisquinho (Republicanos) at 25-37% and Ricardo Marques (PL) further back. This underpins the elevated trader consensus around Fábio, reflecting his established name recognition, coalition support, and consistent polling edge ahead of the October 4 first-round vote. Valmir remains the clearest alternative but trails significantly in head-to-head scenarios. Minor candidates including Emanuel Cacho, Dr. Helton, and Taty Cristina register negligible support, consistent with their low implied probabilities. Campaign activities continue with candidate agendas and interviews, though no major late shifts have altered the standings.
The Sergipe gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Marché ouvert : Aug 17, 2026, 5:45 AM ET
Volume
$29,109Date de fin
4 oct. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 17, 2026, 5:45 AM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...The Sergipe gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Fábio (Mitidieri, PSD), the incumbent governor seeking re-election, holds a commanding position in the Sergipe gubernatorial race with recent polls from early to mid-September showing him at 41-48% in the first round, well ahead of main challenger Valmir de Francisquinho (Republicanos) at 25-37% and Ricardo Marques (PL) further back. This underpins the elevated trader consensus around Fábio, reflecting his established name recognition, coalition support, and consistent polling edge ahead of the October 4 first-round vote. Valmir remains the clearest alternative but trails significantly in head-to-head scenarios. Minor candidates including Emanuel Cacho, Dr. Helton, and Taty Cristina register negligible support, consistent with their low implied probabilities. Campaign activities continue with candidate agendas and interviews, though no major late shifts have altered the standings.
The Sergipe gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$29,109Date de fin
4 oct. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 17, 2026, 5:45 AM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Fábio (Mitidieri, PSD), the incumbent governor seeking re-election, holds a commanding position in the Sergipe gubernatorial race with recent polls from early to mid-September showing him at 41-48% in the first round, well ahead of main challenger Valmir de Francisquinho (Republicanos) at 25-37% and Ricardo Marques (PL) further back. This underpins the elevated trader consensus around Fábio, reflecting his established name recognition, coalition support, and consistent polling edge ahead of the October 4 first-round vote. Valmir remains the clearest alternative but trails significantly in head-to-head scenarios. Minor candidates including Emanuel Cacho, Dr. Helton, and Taty Cristina register negligible support, consistent with their low implied probabilities. Campaign activities continue with candidate agendas and interviews, though no major late shifts have altered the standings.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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