Traders assign an 89.5 percent implied probability that no new country will join the Abraham Accords by June 30, reflecting the absence of finalized bilateral normalization agreements in the narrow remaining window. Kazakhstan completed its accession in early 2026 after a November 2025 announcement, while Somaliland’s pledge following Israel’s December 2025 recognition has not advanced to formal documentation. Saudi Arabia continues to link any normalization to concrete progress on a Palestinian state, and talks with candidates such as Syria or Lebanon remain stalled amid ongoing regional security concerns. With roughly six weeks until the resolution date, the multi-step process of negotiations, announcements, and signings offers limited scope for additional members to meet the deadline.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourOui
$24,753 Vol.
$24,753 Vol.
30 juin 2026
Oui
$24,753 Vol.
$24,753 Vol.
30 juin 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Such a signing will qualify regardless of whether a country had an established diplomatic relationship with Israel predating this event; their becoming a signatory of the Abraham Accords qualifies as normalizing relations under the framework of that agreement.
For the purposes of this market, Somaliland will count as a country.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of June 26, 2025—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.Traders assign an 89.5 percent implied probability that no new country will join the Abraham Accords by June 30, reflecting the absence of finalized bilateral normalization agreements in the narrow remaining window. Kazakhstan completed its accession in early 2026 after a November 2025 announcement, while Somaliland’s pledge following Israel’s December 2025 recognition has not advanced to formal documentation. Saudi Arabia continues to link any normalization to concrete progress on a Palestinian state, and talks with candidates such as Syria or Lebanon remain stalled amid ongoing regional security concerns. With roughly six weeks until the resolution date, the multi-step process of negotiations, announcements, and signings offers limited scope for additional members to meet the deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Such a signing will qualify regardless of whether a country had an established diplomatic relationship with Israel predating this event; their becoming a signatory of the Abraham Accords qualifies as normalizing relations under the framework of that agreement.
For the purposes of this market, Somaliland will count as a country.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of June 26, 2025—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Such a signing will qualify regardless of whether a country had an established diplomatic relationship with Israel predating this event; their becoming a signatory of the Abraham Accords qualifies as normalizing relations under the framework of that agreement.
For the purposes of this market, Somaliland will count as a country.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of June 26, 2025—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Apr 1, 2026, 2:04 PM ET
Volume
$24,753Date de fin
30 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 1, 2026, 2:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Such a signing will qualify regardless of whether a country had an established diplomatic relationship with Israel predating this event; their becoming a signatory of the Abraham Accords qualifies as normalizing relations under the framework of that agreement.
For the purposes of this market, Somaliland will count as a country.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of June 26, 2025—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.Traders assign an 89.5 percent implied probability that no new country will join the Abraham Accords by June 30, reflecting the absence of finalized bilateral normalization agreements in the narrow remaining window. Kazakhstan completed its accession in early 2026 after a November 2025 announcement, while Somaliland’s pledge following Israel’s December 2025 recognition has not advanced to formal documentation. Saudi Arabia continues to link any normalization to concrete progress on a Palestinian state, and talks with candidates such as Syria or Lebanon remain stalled amid ongoing regional security concerns. With roughly six weeks until the resolution date, the multi-step process of negotiations, announcements, and signings offers limited scope for additional members to meet the deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Such a signing will qualify regardless of whether a country had an established diplomatic relationship with Israel predating this event; their becoming a signatory of the Abraham Accords qualifies as normalizing relations under the framework of that agreement.
For the purposes of this market, Somaliland will count as a country.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of June 26, 2025—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Such a signing will qualify regardless of whether a country had an established diplomatic relationship with Israel predating this event; their becoming a signatory of the Abraham Accords qualifies as normalizing relations under the framework of that agreement.
For the purposes of this market, Somaliland will count as a country.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of June 26, 2025—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$24,753Date de fin
30 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 1, 2026, 2:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Traders assign an 89.5 percent implied probability that no new country will join the Abraham Accords by June 30, reflecting the absence of finalized bilateral normalization agreements in the narrow remaining window. Kazakhstan completed its accession in early 2026 after a November 2025 announcement, while Somaliland’s pledge following Israel’s December 2025 recognition has not advanced to formal documentation. Saudi Arabia continues to link any normalization to concrete progress on a Palestinian state, and talks with candidates such as Syria or Lebanon remain stalled amid ongoing regional security concerns. With roughly six weeks until the resolution date, the multi-step process of negotiations, announcements, and signings offers limited scope for additional members to meet the deadline.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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