NASA's Center for Near-Earth Object Studies continues to report no asteroids with meaningful collision probabilities for Earth in 2026, as confirmed by the Sentry impact monitoring system. Multiple recent close approaches, including car-sized objects like 2026 FM3 passing at safe distances beyond the Moon, have produced no new data elevating impact odds. Historical rates of 5-kiloton-class bolide events remain low, occurring sporadically from undetected small meteoroids, yet ongoing telescopic surveys and orbital refinements continue to lower the chance of an undetected threat reaching that energy threshold. Traders appear to weigh this sustained absence of risk signals against the inherent uncertainty in small-object detection, keeping the implied probability of no strike near 63.5%.