Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors a 32°C high temperature in Lagos today, reflecting the latest guidance from NiMet's weather outlook and global forecast models like those aggregated on AccuWeather and Weather.com, which project daytime peaks around 31-33°C amid partly cloudy skies and potential thunderstorms. This aligns with May climatology in Lagos' tropical monsoon regime, where average highs hover at 31°C per historical records from Murtala Muhammed International Airport—the market's resolution source via Wunderground—with frequent sea breezes and humidity capping extremes above 33°C (rarely exceeding 92°F). Morning observations show temperatures building from 27°C under increasing cloud cover, supporting the 99% implied probability. A challenge would require sustained clear skies and stronger solar insolation through afternoon hours, though model ensembles show low likelihood before evening showers. Hourly airport METAR updates will provide final confirmation.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Lagos on May 15?
Highest temperature in Lagos on May 15?
32°C 99.4%
33°C <1%
36°C or higher <1%
34°C <1%
$33,456 Vol.
$33,456 Vol.
May 15, 2026
32°C
99%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
32°C 99.4%
33°C <1%
36°C or higher <1%
34°C <1%
$33,456 Vol.
$33,456 Vol.
May 15, 2026
32°C
$4,304 Vol.
99%
33°C
$3,298 Vol.
1%
34°C
$3,294 Vol.
<1%
35°C
$2,408 Vol.
<1%
36°C or higher
$5,083 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors a 32°C high temperature in Lagos today, reflecting the latest guidance from NiMet's weather outlook and global forecast models like those aggregated on AccuWeather and Weather.com, which project daytime peaks around 31-33°C amid partly cloudy skies and potential thunderstorms. This aligns with May climatology in Lagos' tropical monsoon regime, where average highs hover at 31°C per historical records from Murtala Muhammed International Airport—the market's resolution source via Wunderground—with frequent sea breezes and humidity capping extremes above 33°C (rarely exceeding 92°F). Morning observations show temperatures building from 27°C under increasing cloud cover, supporting the 99% implied probability. A challenge would require sustained clear skies and stronger solar insolation through afternoon hours, though model ensembles show low likelihood before evening showers. Hourly airport METAR updates will provide final confirmation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: May 13, 2026, 12:16 AM ET
Volume
$33,456Tanggal Berakhir
May 15, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 13, 2026, 12:16 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors a 32°C high temperature in Lagos today, reflecting the latest guidance from NiMet's weather outlook and global forecast models like those aggregated on AccuWeather and Weather.com, which project daytime peaks around 31-33°C amid partly cloudy skies and potential thunderstorms. This aligns with May climatology in Lagos' tropical monsoon regime, where average highs hover at 31°C per historical records from Murtala Muhammed International Airport—the market's resolution source via Wunderground—with frequent sea breezes and humidity capping extremes above 33°C (rarely exceeding 92°F). Morning observations show temperatures building from 27°C under increasing cloud cover, supporting the 99% implied probability. A challenge would require sustained clear skies and stronger solar insolation through afternoon hours, though model ensembles show low likelihood before evening showers. Hourly airport METAR updates will provide final confirmation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$33,456Tanggal Berakhir
May 15, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 13, 2026, 12:16 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors a 32°C high temperature in Lagos today, reflecting the latest guidance from NiMet's weather outlook and global forecast models like those aggregated on AccuWeather and Weather.com, which project daytime peaks around 31-33°C amid partly cloudy skies and potential thunderstorms. This aligns with May climatology in Lagos' tropical monsoon regime, where average highs hover at 31°C per historical records from Murtala Muhammed International Airport—the market's resolution source via Wunderground—with frequent sea breezes and humidity capping extremes above 33°C (rarely exceeding 92°F). Morning observations show temperatures building from 27°C under increasing cloud cover, supporting the 99% implied probability. A challenge would require sustained clear skies and stronger solar insolation through afternoon hours, though model ensembles show low likelihood before evening showers. Hourly airport METAR updates will provide final confirmation.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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