PAGASA's latest forecast projects a maximum temperature of 34°C in Metro Manila today under partly cloudy skies with isolated rainshowers and 20% precipitation chance from easterly winds, driving the 92% market-implied probability on this outcome as traders align with official model consensus. Recent days saw peaks near 35.5°C at nearby stations like Ninoy Aquino International Airport amid drier conditions, but increased cloud cover—evident in morning observations around 34°C at Quezon City—supports moderation to seasonal May averages of 33–34°C. Realistic challenges include unexpected prolonged sunshine eroding clouds, potentially pushing toward 35°C (6.5% odds), though hourly PAGASA updates through afternoon peak heating will refine trader positioning before resolution based on Science Garden station data.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Manila on May 14?
Highest temperature in Manila on May 14?
34°C 97.5%
35°C 2.1%
36°C <1%
38°C or higher <1%
$27,373 Vol.
$27,373 Vol.
34°C
98%
35°C
2%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
34°C 97.5%
35°C 2.1%
36°C <1%
38°C or higher <1%
$27,373 Vol.
$27,373 Vol.
34°C
98%
35°C
2%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: May 12, 2026, 12:16 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...PAGASA's latest forecast projects a maximum temperature of 34°C in Metro Manila today under partly cloudy skies with isolated rainshowers and 20% precipitation chance from easterly winds, driving the 92% market-implied probability on this outcome as traders align with official model consensus. Recent days saw peaks near 35.5°C at nearby stations like Ninoy Aquino International Airport amid drier conditions, but increased cloud cover—evident in morning observations around 34°C at Quezon City—supports moderation to seasonal May averages of 33–34°C. Realistic challenges include unexpected prolonged sunshine eroding clouds, potentially pushing toward 35°C (6.5% odds), though hourly PAGASA updates through afternoon peak heating will refine trader positioning before resolution based on Science Garden station data.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan