Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 32°C or higher in Panama City on May 14, driven by confirmed observations from the resolving station at Marcos A. Gelabert International Airport (MPMG/PAC), where METAR reports logged peaks of 33°C during mid-afternoon hours under partly cloudy skies and light winds. Panama City's equatorial climate delivers reliable May highs averaging 30–32°C amid the wet season onset, with minimal day-to-day variability per historical airport data and ECMWF/GFS model consensus projecting 33–34°C. Afternoon solar heating and low convective interference solidified this positioning; only an improbable official data revision could challenge it now, as the daily maximum window has passed.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Panama City on May 14?
32°C or higher 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$13,941 Vol.
$13,941 Vol.
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
Yes
32°C or higher 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$13,941 Vol.
$13,941 Vol.
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
Yes
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: May 12, 2026, 12:25 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 32°C or higher in Panama City on May 14, driven by confirmed observations from the resolving station at Marcos A. Gelabert International Airport (MPMG/PAC), where METAR reports logged peaks of 33°C during mid-afternoon hours under partly cloudy skies and light winds. Panama City's equatorial climate delivers reliable May highs averaging 30–32°C amid the wet season onset, with minimal day-to-day variability per historical airport data and ECMWF/GFS model consensus projecting 33–34°C. Afternoon solar heating and low convective interference solidified this positioning; only an improbable official data revision could challenge it now, as the daily maximum window has passed.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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