Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs a highest temperature of 31°C or higher in Shenzhen on May 14, 2026, with 100% implied probability, reflecting near-unanimous alignment with latest forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international models like those from AccuWeather and TimeandDate.com projecting peaks of 30.5–31°C at Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport—the official resolution station. This positioning stems from persistent subtropical high pressure fostering clear skies, strong insolation, and minimal cloud interference amid May's climatological norms of 29–30°C averages, with morning observations already climbing past 26°C under low humidity. Realistic challenges include abrupt thundery showers or enhanced sea breezes capping peaks below 31°C, though model ensembles show low probability before evening data finalizes resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Shenzhen on May 14?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on May 14?
31°C or higher 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$31,422 Vol.
$31,422 Vol.
May 14, 2026
21°C or below
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C or higher
Yes
31°C or higher 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$31,422 Vol.
$31,422 Vol.
May 14, 2026
21°C or below
$1,366 Vol.
No
22°C
$350 Vol.
No
23°C
$1,346 Vol.
No
24°C
$1,388 Vol.
No
25°C
$2,047 Vol.
No
26°C
$2,582 Vol.
No
27°C
$2,342 Vol.
No
28°C
$3,291 Vol.
No
29°C
$3,487 Vol.
No
30°C
$8,270 Vol.
No
31°C or higher
$4,953 Vol.
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs a highest temperature of 31°C or higher in Shenzhen on May 14, 2026, with 100% implied probability, reflecting near-unanimous alignment with latest forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international models like those from AccuWeather and TimeandDate.com projecting peaks of 30.5–31°C at Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport—the official resolution station. This positioning stems from persistent subtropical high pressure fostering clear skies, strong insolation, and minimal cloud interference amid May's climatological norms of 29–30°C averages, with morning observations already climbing past 26°C under low humidity. Realistic challenges include abrupt thundery showers or enhanced sea breezes capping peaks below 31°C, though model ensembles show low probability before evening data finalizes resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: May 12, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
Volume
$31,422Tanggal Berakhir
May 14, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 12, 2026, 12:12 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs a highest temperature of 31°C or higher in Shenzhen on May 14, 2026, with 100% implied probability, reflecting near-unanimous alignment with latest forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international models like those from AccuWeather and TimeandDate.com projecting peaks of 30.5–31°C at Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport—the official resolution station. This positioning stems from persistent subtropical high pressure fostering clear skies, strong insolation, and minimal cloud interference amid May's climatological norms of 29–30°C averages, with morning observations already climbing past 26°C under low humidity. Realistic challenges include abrupt thundery showers or enhanced sea breezes capping peaks below 31°C, though model ensembles show low probability before evening data finalizes resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$31,422Tanggal Berakhir
May 14, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 12, 2026, 12:12 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs a highest temperature of 31°C or higher in Shenzhen on May 14, 2026, with 100% implied probability, reflecting near-unanimous alignment with latest forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international models like those from AccuWeather and TimeandDate.com projecting peaks of 30.5–31°C at Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport—the official resolution station. This positioning stems from persistent subtropical high pressure fostering clear skies, strong insolation, and minimal cloud interference amid May's climatological norms of 29–30°C averages, with morning observations already climbing past 26°C under low humidity. Realistic challenges include abrupt thundery showers or enhanced sea breezes capping peaks below 31°C, though model ensembles show low probability before evening data finalizes resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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