Official Météo-France observations at Paris-Le Bourget Airport, the designated resolution station, recorded a minimum temperature of 9°C on May 13, 2026, anchoring trader consensus at 100% implied probability amid persistent overcast skies and cool northerly airflow that limited daytime heating to just 14°C and moderated overnight radiational cooling. This outcome aligns with AROME model hindcasts and hourly data showing sustained low-level stratus clouds preventing deeper cools typical under clear skies, while slightly undercutting mid-May climatological lows near 10°C. Realistic challenges are minimal but could include post hoc quality control revisions uncovering instrument anomalies or a overlooked earlier reading, though real-time logs provide strong evidentiary support for final resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Paris on May 13?
9°C 100.0%
3°C or below <1%
4°C <1%
5°C <1%
$22,193 Vol.
$22,193 Vol.
3°C or below
No
4°C
No
5°C
No
6°C
No
7°C
No
8°C
No
9°C
Yes
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C or higher
No
9°C 100.0%
3°C or below <1%
4°C <1%
5°C <1%
$22,193 Vol.
$22,193 Vol.
3°C or below
No
4°C
No
5°C
No
6°C
No
7°C
No
8°C
No
9°C
Yes
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: May 11, 2026, 12:14 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
Official Météo-France observations at Paris-Le Bourget Airport, the designated resolution station, recorded a minimum temperature of 9°C on May 13, 2026, anchoring trader consensus at 100% implied probability amid persistent overcast skies and cool northerly airflow that limited daytime heating to just 14°C and moderated overnight radiational cooling. This outcome aligns with AROME model hindcasts and hourly data showing sustained low-level stratus clouds preventing deeper cools typical under clear skies, while slightly undercutting mid-May climatological lows near 10°C. Realistic challenges are minimal but could include post hoc quality control revisions uncovering instrument anomalies or a overlooked earlier reading, though real-time logs provide strong evidentiary support for final resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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