Recent detections of New World screwworm (NWS), caused by the parasitic fly *Cochliomyia hominivorax*, have expanded within Texas since the initial June 3, 2026, confirmation in a Zavala County calf, with additional livestock cases in La Salle, Gillespie, and Tom Green counties through June 11. USDA-APHIS and Texas Animal Health Commission data show larvae infesting wounds in cattle and goats, prompting quarantine zones, movement restrictions, and sterile fly releases to disrupt reproduction. A Lea County, New Mexico, case involved a dog rather than livestock, leaving no confirmed livestock detections outside Texas. Ongoing surveillance, model-based risk assessments from northern Mexico incursions, and weekly agency updates on case counts and geographic spread represent key variables that could shift market-implied odds if new livestock positives emerge beyond state lines.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoConfermato il caso Screwworm negli Stati Uniti in Bestiame oltre il Texas da...
Confermato il caso Screwworm negli Stati Uniti in Bestiame oltre il Texas da...
NUOVO
30 giugno
38%
30 agosto
52%
31 ottobre
41%
31 dicembre
50%
$675 Vol.
30 giugno
$354 Vol.
38%
30 agosto
$321 Vol.
52%
31 ottobre
$0 Vol.
41%
31 dicembre
$0 Vol.
50%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a case of Screwworm in any livestock animal in a state of the United States other than Texas confirmed between market creation and the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any laboratory-confirmed screwworm infection identified within a U.S. state other than Texas will qualify, regardless of where exposure or symptom onset occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information (e.g., the CDC or USDA); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.Recent detections of New World screwworm (NWS), caused by the parasitic fly *Cochliomyia hominivorax*, have expanded within Texas since the initial June 3, 2026, confirmation in a Zavala County calf, with additional livestock cases in La Salle, Gillespie, and Tom Green counties through June 11. USDA-APHIS and Texas Animal Health Commission data show larvae infesting wounds in cattle and goats, prompting quarantine zones, movement restrictions, and sterile fly releases to disrupt reproduction. A Lea County, New Mexico, case involved a dog rather than livestock, leaving no confirmed livestock detections outside Texas. Ongoing surveillance, model-based risk assessments from northern Mexico incursions, and weekly agency updates on case counts and geographic spread represent key variables that could shift market-implied odds if new livestock positives emerge beyond state lines.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a case of Screwworm in any livestock animal in a state of the United States other than Texas confirmed between market creation and the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any laboratory-confirmed screwworm infection identified within a U.S. state other than Texas will qualify, regardless of where exposure or symptom onset occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information (e.g., the CDC or USDA); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Any laboratory-confirmed screwworm infection identified within a U.S. state other than Texas will qualify, regardless of where exposure or symptom onset occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information (e.g., the CDC or USDA); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Mercato aperto: Jun 9, 2026, 10:17 PM ET
Volume
$675Mercato aperto
Jun 9, 2026, 10:17 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a case of Screwworm in any livestock animal in a state of the United States other than Texas confirmed between market creation and the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any laboratory-confirmed screwworm infection identified within a U.S. state other than Texas will qualify, regardless of where exposure or symptom onset occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information (e.g., the CDC or USDA); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.Recent detections of New World screwworm (NWS), caused by the parasitic fly *Cochliomyia hominivorax*, have expanded within Texas since the initial June 3, 2026, confirmation in a Zavala County calf, with additional livestock cases in La Salle, Gillespie, and Tom Green counties through June 11. USDA-APHIS and Texas Animal Health Commission data show larvae infesting wounds in cattle and goats, prompting quarantine zones, movement restrictions, and sterile fly releases to disrupt reproduction. A Lea County, New Mexico, case involved a dog rather than livestock, leaving no confirmed livestock detections outside Texas. Ongoing surveillance, model-based risk assessments from northern Mexico incursions, and weekly agency updates on case counts and geographic spread represent key variables that could shift market-implied odds if new livestock positives emerge beyond state lines.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a case of Screwworm in any livestock animal in a state of the United States other than Texas confirmed between market creation and the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any laboratory-confirmed screwworm infection identified within a U.S. state other than Texas will qualify, regardless of where exposure or symptom onset occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information (e.g., the CDC or USDA); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Any laboratory-confirmed screwworm infection identified within a U.S. state other than Texas will qualify, regardless of where exposure or symptom onset occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information (e.g., the CDC or USDA); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Volume
$675Mercato aperto
Jun 9, 2026, 10:17 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent detections of New World screwworm (NWS), caused by the parasitic fly *Cochliomyia hominivorax*, have expanded within Texas since the initial June 3, 2026, confirmation in a Zavala County calf, with additional livestock cases in La Salle, Gillespie, and Tom Green counties through June 11. USDA-APHIS and Texas Animal Health Commission data show larvae infesting wounds in cattle and goats, prompting quarantine zones, movement restrictions, and sterile fly releases to disrupt reproduction. A Lea County, New Mexico, case involved a dog rather than livestock, leaving no confirmed livestock detections outside Texas. Ongoing surveillance, model-based risk assessments from northern Mexico incursions, and weekly agency updates on case counts and geographic spread represent key variables that could shift market-implied odds if new livestock positives emerge beyond state lines.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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