Flavio Bolsonaro’s official announcement of Alfredo Gaspar as his vice-presidential running mate on August 5, 2026, has driven the near-certain trader consensus on this Liberal Party ticket for Brazil’s October presidential election. Weeks of internal party discussions and unsuccessful outreach to centrist or female candidates from other right-leaning parties left Gaspar, a first-term federal deputy from Alagoas and former prosecutor, as the selected choice to strengthen regional ties in the northeast. The formal nomination ended speculation and aligned with the campaign’s focus on continuity within the PL. Only extraordinary late developments, such as a withdrawal or major legal ruling altering eligibility before the vote, could realistically shift the outcome.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoAlfredo Gaspar 100.0%
Marcos Pontes <1%
Rogério Marinho <1%
Tereza Cristina <1%
$37,419 Vol.
$37,419 Vol.
Marcos Pontes
No
Rogério Marinho
No
Tereza Cristina
No
Simone Marquetto
No
Clarissa Tércio
No
Daniella Marques
No
Damares Alves
No
Renata Abreu
No
Gilson Machado
No
Michelle Bolsonaro
No
Alfredo Gaspar
Sì
Bia Kicis
No
Júlia Zanatta
No
Priscila Costa
No
Rosana Valle
No
Alfredo Gaspar 100.0%
Marcos Pontes <1%
Rogério Marinho <1%
Tereza Cristina <1%
$37,419 Vol.
$37,419 Vol.
Marcos Pontes
No
Rogério Marinho
No
Tereza Cristina
No
Simone Marquetto
No
Clarissa Tércio
No
Daniella Marques
No
Damares Alves
No
Renata Abreu
No
Gilson Machado
No
Michelle Bolsonaro
No
Alfredo Gaspar
Sì
Bia Kicis
No
Júlia Zanatta
No
Priscila Costa
No
Rosana Valle
No
An announcement of candidate selection will not alone qualify.
If Flavio Bolsonaro does not officially file a registration request to contest the 2026 Brazil presidential elections by August 15, 2026, 11:59 Brasilia time, this market will resolve to “Other”.
Any subsequent substitution, replacement, withdrawal, disqualification, or other change to the initially registered vice-presidential candidate will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Brazil, including the Superior Electoral Court (TSE, https://divulgacandcontas.tse.jus.br/).
Mercato aperto: Aug 4, 2026, 12:08 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
An announcement of candidate selection will not alone qualify.
If Flavio Bolsonaro does not officially file a registration request to contest the 2026 Brazil presidential elections by August 15, 2026, 11:59 Brasilia time, this market will resolve to “Other”.
Any subsequent substitution, replacement, withdrawal, disqualification, or other change to the initially registered vice-presidential candidate will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Brazil, including the Superior Electoral Court (TSE, https://divulgacandcontas.tse.jus.br/).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Flavio Bolsonaro’s official announcement of Alfredo Gaspar as his vice-presidential running mate on August 5, 2026, has driven the near-certain trader consensus on this Liberal Party ticket for Brazil’s October presidential election. Weeks of internal party discussions and unsuccessful outreach to centrist or female candidates from other right-leaning parties left Gaspar, a first-term federal deputy from Alagoas and former prosecutor, as the selected choice to strengthen regional ties in the northeast. The formal nomination ended speculation and aligned with the campaign’s focus on continuity within the PL. Only extraordinary late developments, such as a withdrawal or major legal ruling altering eligibility before the vote, could realistically shift the outcome.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoCorrelati
Flávio Bolsonaro finirà al secondo posto nel primo turno delle elezioni presidenziali brasiliane del 2026?
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva vincerà le elezioni presidenziali brasiliane del 2026?
Renan Santos finirà al terzo posto nel primo turno delle elezioni presidenziali brasiliane del 2026?
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
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