**Trader consensus in the Singapore June 15 highest-temperature market centers on 31°C (49.5% implied probability) and 30°C (31.0%), reflecting the city's typical June climatology amid ongoing Southwest Monsoon conditions.** Singapore's equatorial location produces average daily highs near 31°C during June, with high humidity and frequent afternoon thundery showers from monsoon flows often moderating peaks through increased cloud cover and rainfall. Official outlooks from the Meteorological Service Singapore note that early June saw maxima frequently reaching 33–34°C (occasionally 35°C under clearer skies), but mid-month forecasts from sources like AccuWeather and long-range models point to a return toward the 29–32°C envelope as moisture and convective activity increase. El Niño development and a positive Indian Ocean Dipole are expected to sustain warmer-than-average tendencies through the season, yet short-term model guidance for June 15 emphasizes typical monsoon-influenced conditions that favor the 30–31°C range over extremes. Market pricing thus embeds both historical baselines and the limited upside risk from transient clearer periods, with lower-probability outcomes (32°C and above) priced modestly due to the high likelihood of shower-related cooling.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Singapore on June 15?
31°C 48%
30°C 32%
32°C 12%
29°C 2.8%
$11,531 Vol.
$11,531 Vol.
25°C o meno
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
3%
30°C
32%
31°C
48%
32°C
12%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
31°C 48%
30°C 32%
32°C 12%
29°C 2.8%
$11,531 Vol.
$11,531 Vol.
25°C o meno
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
3%
30°C
32%
31°C
48%
32°C
12%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jun 13, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus in the Singapore June 15 highest-temperature market centers on 31°C (49.5% implied probability) and 30°C (31.0%), reflecting the city's typical June climatology amid ongoing Southwest Monsoon conditions.** Singapore's equatorial location produces average daily highs near 31°C during June, with high humidity and frequent afternoon thundery showers from monsoon flows often moderating peaks through increased cloud cover and rainfall. Official outlooks from the Meteorological Service Singapore note that early June saw maxima frequently reaching 33–34°C (occasionally 35°C under clearer skies), but mid-month forecasts from sources like AccuWeather and long-range models point to a return toward the 29–32°C envelope as moisture and convective activity increase. El Niño development and a positive Indian Ocean Dipole are expected to sustain warmer-than-average tendencies through the season, yet short-term model guidance for June 15 emphasizes typical monsoon-influenced conditions that favor the 30–31°C range over extremes. Market pricing thus embeds both historical baselines and the limited upside risk from transient clearer periods, with lower-probability outcomes (32°C and above) priced modestly due to the high likelihood of shower-related cooling.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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