Current forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and supporting models indicate Tokyo’s overnight minimum on June 14 will settle at 21 °C under stable high pressure and light northerly flow. This aligns with the seasonal transition out of the rainy season, when typical daily lows range 19–22 °C, and recent model runs show minimal spread around that value. With official observations now confirming the threshold and little time remaining before market resolution, traders have converged on 21 °C at essentially 100 % implied probability. Only an unexpected late surge in cloud cover or a localized urban-heat-island anomaly could push the reading outside the implied band, though neither is supported by current data.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa di Tokyo il 14 giugno?
La temperatura più bassa di Tokyo il 14 giugno?
21°C 100.0%
16°C o inferiore <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$21,454 Vol.
$21,454 Vol.
14 giu 2026
16°C o inferiore
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
Sì
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C o superiore
No
21°C 100.0%
16°C o inferiore <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$21,454 Vol.
$21,454 Vol.
14 giu 2026
16°C o inferiore
$713 Vol.
No
17°C
$1,896 Vol.
No
18°C
$1,143 Vol.
No
19°C
$2,449 Vol.
No
20°C
$2,107 Vol.
No
21°C
$6,400 Vol.
Sì
22°C
$3,586 Vol.
No
23°C
$1,454 Vol.
No
24°C
$1,055 Vol.
No
25°C
$350 Vol.
No
26°C o superiore
$300 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and supporting models indicate Tokyo’s overnight minimum on June 14 will settle at 21 °C under stable high pressure and light northerly flow. This aligns with the seasonal transition out of the rainy season, when typical daily lows range 19–22 °C, and recent model runs show minimal spread around that value. With official observations now confirming the threshold and little time remaining before market resolution, traders have converged on 21 °C at essentially 100 % implied probability. Only an unexpected late surge in cloud cover or a localized urban-heat-island anomaly could push the reading outside the implied band, though neither is supported by current data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jun 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$21,454Data di fine
14 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and supporting models indicate Tokyo’s overnight minimum on June 14 will settle at 21 °C under stable high pressure and light northerly flow. This aligns with the seasonal transition out of the rainy season, when typical daily lows range 19–22 °C, and recent model runs show minimal spread around that value. With official observations now confirming the threshold and little time remaining before market resolution, traders have converged on 21 °C at essentially 100 % implied probability. Only an unexpected late surge in cloud cover or a localized urban-heat-island anomaly could push the reading outside the implied band, though neither is supported by current data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$21,454Data di fine
14 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Current forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and supporting models indicate Tokyo’s overnight minimum on June 14 will settle at 21 °C under stable high pressure and light northerly flow. This aligns with the seasonal transition out of the rainy season, when typical daily lows range 19–22 °C, and recent model runs show minimal spread around that value. With official observations now confirming the threshold and little time remaining before market resolution, traders have converged on 21 °C at essentially 100 % implied probability. Only an unexpected late surge in cloud cover or a localized urban-heat-island anomaly could push the reading outside the implied band, though neither is supported by current data.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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