Abelardo de la Espriella captured roughly 43.7 percent in Colombia’s May 31 first-round presidential vote, placing him at the top of the field and driving the overwhelming market consensus around the 40-45 percent band. The right-wing outsider, running on a hardline security platform that emphasized cracking down on armed groups, outperformed earlier polling by drawing support from voters seeking a break from the outgoing Petro administration. Consolidated backing from centrist and conservative figures, including Paloma Valencia and former presidents Uribe and Duque, helped consolidate the right’s vote share behind him. Final certified results and any potential minor adjustments from remaining recounts represent the only realistic factors that could shift the outcome within the current tight band before market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Abelardo de la Espriella vote share in 2026 Colombian presidential first round?
40-45% 99.2%
45%以上 2.2%
<20% <1%
20-25% <1%
$13,642 Vol.
$13,642 Vol.
<20%
1%
20-25%
<1%
25-30%
<1%
30-35%
<1%
35-40%
<1%
40-45%
99%
45%以上
2%
40-45% 99.2%
45%以上 2.2%
<20% <1%
20-25% <1%
$13,642 Vol.
$13,642 Vol.
<20%
1%
20-25%
<1%
25-30%
<1%
30-35%
<1%
35-40%
<1%
40-45%
99%
45%以上
2%
This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Abelardo de la Espriella wins in the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the proportion of valid votes won by Abelardo de la Espriella, not any coalition of which he may be a part.
If the results of the election aren’t known by December 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
マーケット開始日: May 27, 2026, 10:15 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Abelardo de la Espriella wins in the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the proportion of valid votes won by Abelardo de la Espriella, not any coalition of which he may be a part.
If the results of the election aren’t known by December 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Abelardo de la Espriella captured roughly 43.7 percent in Colombia’s May 31 first-round presidential vote, placing him at the top of the field and driving the overwhelming market consensus around the 40-45 percent band. The right-wing outsider, running on a hardline security platform that emphasized cracking down on armed groups, outperformed earlier polling by drawing support from voters seeking a break from the outgoing Petro administration. Consolidated backing from centrist and conservative figures, including Paloma Valencia and former presidents Uribe and Duque, helped consolidate the right’s vote share behind him. Final certified results and any potential minor adjustments from remaining recounts represent the only realistic factors that could shift the outcome within the current tight band before market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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