**Recent polling from Real Time Big Data (conducted September 16–19, 2026) shows a fragmented field for Acre’s two Senate seats, with Gladson Cameli (PP) at 24% consolidated support, Márcio Bittar (PL) at 21%, and Mara Rocha (Republicanos) and Jorge Viana (PT) tied at 15% each.** Cameli leads in first-preference scenarios while Bittar often heads second-preference tallies, leaving the battle for second place highly competitive. Separate first- and second-vote breakdowns, technical ties within the 2-point margin of error, and overlapping name recognition among established figures sustain tight pricing across leading contenders. Voter choice of two candidates, ongoing coalition dynamics, and regional voting patterns in the state have prevented any single challenger from pulling ahead decisively. An upcoming Rede Amazônica Senate debate on September 25 offers a near-term opportunity for differentiation before the October 4 vote. Traders price the outcome as uncertain because small shifts in turnout or alliances could readily reorder the ranking for the second seat.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日マラ・ロシャ 47%
マルシオ・ビッタール 32.1%
グラッドソン・カメリ 14%
ホルヘ・ヴィアナ 4.3%
$44,542 Vol.
$44,542 Vol.
2027/06/30
マラ・ロシャ
47%
マルシオ・ビッタール
32%
グラッドソン・カメリ
14%
ホルヘ・ヴィアナ
4%
ペテカン
1%
イナシオ・モレイラ教授
<1%
ジュニオール・フェイトーザ博士
<1%
エドゥアルド・ヴェローゾ
<1%
マラ・ロシャ 47%
マルシオ・ビッタール 32.1%
グラッドソン・カメリ 14%
ホルヘ・ヴィアナ 4.3%
$44,542 Vol.
$44,542 Vol.
2027/06/30
マラ・ロシャ
$17,613 Vol.
47%
マルシオ・ビッタール
$8,148 Vol.
32%
グラッドソン・カメリ
$13,335 Vol.
14%
ホルヘ・ヴィアナ
$1,344 Vol.
4%
ペテカン
$1,871 Vol.
1%
イナシオ・モレイラ教授
$738 Vol.
<1%
ジュニオール・フェイトーザ博士
$786 Vol.
<1%
エドゥアルド・ヴェローゾ
$706 Vol.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Acre is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).**Recent polling from Real Time Big Data (conducted September 16–19, 2026) shows a fragmented field for Acre’s two Senate seats, with Gladson Cameli (PP) at 24% consolidated support, Márcio Bittar (PL) at 21%, and Mara Rocha (Republicanos) and Jorge Viana (PT) tied at 15% each.**
Cameli leads in first-preference scenarios while Bittar often heads second-preference tallies, leaving the battle for second place highly competitive. Separate first- and second-vote breakdowns, technical ties within the 2-point margin of error, and overlapping name recognition among established figures sustain tight pricing across leading contenders.
Voter choice of two candidates, ongoing coalition dynamics, and regional voting patterns in the state have prevented any single challenger from pulling ahead decisively. An upcoming Rede Amazônica Senate debate on September 25 offers a near-term opportunity for differentiation before the October 4 vote. Traders price the outcome as uncertain because small shifts in turnout or alliances could readily reorder the ranking for the second seat.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Acre is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
マーケット開始日： Aug 17, 2026, 5:48 AM ET
音量
$44,542終了日
2027/07/01マーケット開始日
Aug 17, 2026, 5:48 AM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Acre is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).**Recent polling from Real Time Big Data (conducted September 16–19, 2026) shows a fragmented field for Acre’s two Senate seats, with Gladson Cameli (PP) at 24% consolidated support, Márcio Bittar (PL) at 21%, and Mara Rocha (Republicanos) and Jorge Viana (PT) tied at 15% each.**
Cameli leads in first-preference scenarios while Bittar often heads second-preference tallies, leaving the battle for second place highly competitive. Separate first- and second-vote breakdowns, technical ties within the 2-point margin of error, and overlapping name recognition among established figures sustain tight pricing across leading contenders.
Voter choice of two candidates, ongoing coalition dynamics, and regional voting patterns in the state have prevented any single challenger from pulling ahead decisively. An upcoming Rede Amazônica Senate debate on September 25 offers a near-term opportunity for differentiation before the October 4 vote. Traders price the outcome as uncertain because small shifts in turnout or alliances could readily reorder the ranking for the second seat.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Acre is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
音量
$44,542終了日
2027/07/01マーケット開始日
Aug 17, 2026, 5:48 AM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...**Recent polling from Real Time Big Data (conducted September 16–19, 2026) shows a fragmented field for Acre’s two Senate seats, with Gladson Cameli (PP) at 24% consolidated support, Márcio Bittar (PL) at 21%, and Mara Rocha (Republicanos) and Jorge Viana (PT) tied at 15% each.** Cameli leads in first-preference scenarios while Bittar often heads second-preference tallies, leaving the battle for second place highly competitive. Separate first- and second-vote breakdowns, technical ties within the 2-point margin of error, and overlapping name recognition among established figures sustain tight pricing across leading contenders. Voter choice of two candidates, ongoing coalition dynamics, and regional voting patterns in the state have prevented any single challenger from pulling ahead decisively. An upcoming Rede Amazônica Senate debate on September 25 offers a near-term opportunity for differentiation before the October 4 vote. Traders price the outcome as uncertain because small shifts in turnout or alliances could readily reorder the ranking for the second seat.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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