The Israeli High Court of Justice’s April 2026 rulings on petitions seeking Ben-Gvir’s removal from the National Security portfolio imposed procedural limits on his police oversight but declined to direct Prime Minister Netanyahu to dismiss him, citing institutional restraint against such an unprecedented intervention. Netanyahu’s governing coalition continues to rely on Otzma Yehudit’s parliamentary support for stability, reducing incentives for removal ahead of the June 30 threshold. Ben-Gvir has maintained active ministerial functions, including his mid-May Temple Mount visit asserting Israeli sovereignty and policy on Jewish prayer access. These factors underpin the current trader consensus reflected in the 88 percent implied probability against his departure by the resolution date.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/06/30
新規
新規
2026/06/30
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Itamar Ben-Gvir ceases to be the Israeli Minister of National Security for any period of time between market creation and June 30, 2026 (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Ben-Gvir's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Itamar Ben-Gvir and the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The Israeli High Court of Justice’s April 2026 rulings on petitions seeking Ben-Gvir’s removal from the National Security portfolio imposed procedural limits on his police oversight but declined to direct Prime Minister Netanyahu to dismiss him, citing institutional restraint against such an unprecedented intervention. Netanyahu’s governing coalition continues to rely on Otzma Yehudit’s parliamentary support for stability, reducing incentives for removal ahead of the June 30 threshold. Ben-Gvir has maintained active ministerial functions, including his mid-May Temple Mount visit asserting Israeli sovereignty and policy on Jewish prayer access. These factors underpin the current trader consensus reflected in the 88 percent implied probability against his departure by the resolution date.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Itamar Ben-Gvir ceases to be the Israeli Minister of National Security for any period of time between market creation and June 30, 2026 (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Ben-Gvir's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Itamar Ben-Gvir and the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Ben-Gvir's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Itamar Ben-Gvir and the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Apr 16, 2026, 10:41 AM ET
音量
$2,115終了日
2026/06/30マーケット開始日
Apr 16, 2026, 10:41 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Itamar Ben-Gvir ceases to be the Israeli Minister of National Security for any period of time between market creation and June 30, 2026 (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Ben-Gvir's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Itamar Ben-Gvir and the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The Israeli High Court of Justice’s April 2026 rulings on petitions seeking Ben-Gvir’s removal from the National Security portfolio imposed procedural limits on his police oversight but declined to direct Prime Minister Netanyahu to dismiss him, citing institutional restraint against such an unprecedented intervention. Netanyahu’s governing coalition continues to rely on Otzma Yehudit’s parliamentary support for stability, reducing incentives for removal ahead of the June 30 threshold. Ben-Gvir has maintained active ministerial functions, including his mid-May Temple Mount visit asserting Israeli sovereignty and policy on Jewish prayer access. These factors underpin the current trader consensus reflected in the 88 percent implied probability against his departure by the resolution date.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Itamar Ben-Gvir ceases to be the Israeli Minister of National Security for any period of time between market creation and June 30, 2026 (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Ben-Gvir's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Itamar Ben-Gvir and the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Ben-Gvir's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Itamar Ben-Gvir and the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$2,115終了日
2026/06/30マーケット開始日
Apr 16, 2026, 10:41 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The Israeli High Court of Justice’s April 2026 rulings on petitions seeking Ben-Gvir’s removal from the National Security portfolio imposed procedural limits on his police oversight but declined to direct Prime Minister Netanyahu to dismiss him, citing institutional restraint against such an unprecedented intervention. Netanyahu’s governing coalition continues to rely on Otzma Yehudit’s parliamentary support for stability, reducing incentives for removal ahead of the June 30 threshold. Ben-Gvir has maintained active ministerial functions, including his mid-May Temple Mount visit asserting Israeli sovereignty and policy on Jewish prayer access. These factors underpin the current trader consensus reflected in the 88 percent implied probability against his departure by the resolution date.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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