Incumbent Democratic Representative Scott Peters advanced from the June 2026 top-two primary in California's 50th congressional district alongside Republican Steve Cohen, reflecting the seat's strong Democratic lean driven by voter registration advantages and consistent past results. Nonpartisan ratings from outlets including the Cook Political Report classify the race as solid or safe Democratic, aligning with trader consensus reflected in the current 93.5% implied probability for a Democratic win. The district's composition and Peters' established incumbency have limited Republican inroads, with no major late-cycle developments such as scandals or national swings materially altering the positioning ahead of the November 3 general election. A significant shift would require an unanticipated event like a major candidate-specific controversy or broader electoral realignment to meaningfully increase the Republican Party's 5.5% odds.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$60,154 Vol.
$60,154 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
94%
共和党
6%
$60,154 Vol.
$60,154 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
$35,326 Vol.
94%
共和党
$24,828 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-50 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democratic Representative Scott Peters advanced from the June 2026 top-two primary in California's 50th congressional district alongside Republican Steve Cohen, reflecting the seat's strong Democratic lean driven by voter registration advantages and consistent past results. Nonpartisan ratings from outlets including the Cook Political Report classify the race as solid or safe Democratic, aligning with trader consensus reflected in the current 93.5% implied probability for a Democratic win. The district's composition and Peters' established incumbency have limited Republican inroads, with no major late-cycle developments such as scandals or national swings materially altering the positioning ahead of the November 3 general election. A significant shift would require an unanticipated event like a major candidate-specific controversy or broader electoral realignment to meaningfully increase the Republican Party's 5.5% odds.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-50 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
音量
$60,154終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-50 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democratic Representative Scott Peters advanced from the June 2026 top-two primary in California's 50th congressional district alongside Republican Steve Cohen, reflecting the seat's strong Democratic lean driven by voter registration advantages and consistent past results. Nonpartisan ratings from outlets including the Cook Political Report classify the race as solid or safe Democratic, aligning with trader consensus reflected in the current 93.5% implied probability for a Democratic win. The district's composition and Peters' established incumbency have limited Republican inroads, with no major late-cycle developments such as scandals or national swings materially altering the positioning ahead of the November 3 general election. A significant shift would require an unanticipated event like a major candidate-specific controversy or broader electoral realignment to meaningfully increase the Republican Party's 5.5% odds.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-50 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$60,154終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democratic Representative Scott Peters advanced from the June 2026 top-two primary in California's 50th congressional district alongside Republican Steve Cohen, reflecting the seat's strong Democratic lean driven by voter registration advantages and consistent past results. Nonpartisan ratings from outlets including the Cook Political Report classify the race as solid or safe Democratic, aligning with trader consensus reflected in the current 93.5% implied probability for a Democratic win. The district's composition and Peters' established incumbency have limited Republican inroads, with no major late-cycle developments such as scandals or national swings materially altering the positioning ahead of the November 3 general election. A significant shift would require an unanticipated event like a major candidate-specific controversy or broader electoral realignment to meaningfully increase the Republican Party's 5.5% odds.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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