The polarized runoff between right-wing candidate Abelardo de la Espriella and left-wing Iván Cepeda, backed by outgoing President Gustavo Petro, on June 21 drives expectations for solid participation. First-round turnout reached 57.89 percent, up nearly three points from 2022 amid widespread security and governance concerns. Traders price the 60-64 percent band highest because the tight contest and rapid conservative consolidation, including endorsements from figures like Álvaro Uribe, are spurring mobilization on both sides while limiting abstention. Historical runoff patterns in Colombia and the absence of major logistical disruptions or scandals in the final stretch support modest gains over the initial round rather than sharp drops or spikes above 64 percent.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日60〜64% 59%
56〜60% 37%
64%以上 3.9%
52〜56% 3.0%
$13,462 Vol.
$13,462 Vol.
52%未満
1%
52〜56%
3%
56〜60%
37%
60〜64%
59%
64%以上
4%
60〜64% 59%
56〜60% 37%
64%以上 3.9%
52〜56% 3.0%
$13,462 Vol.
$13,462 Vol.
52%未満
1%
52〜56%
3%
56〜60%
37%
60〜64%
59%
64%以上
4%
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Colombian government, including Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
マーケット開始日: Jun 5, 2026, 3:39 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Colombian government, including Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The polarized runoff between right-wing candidate Abelardo de la Espriella and left-wing Iván Cepeda, backed by outgoing President Gustavo Petro, on June 21 drives expectations for solid participation. First-round turnout reached 57.89 percent, up nearly three points from 2022 amid widespread security and governance concerns. Traders price the 60-64 percent band highest because the tight contest and rapid conservative consolidation, including endorsements from figures like Álvaro Uribe, are spurring mobilization on both sides while limiting abstention. Historical runoff patterns in Colombia and the absence of major logistical disruptions or scandals in the final stretch support modest gains over the initial round rather than sharp drops or spikes above 64 percent.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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