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Highest temperature in Austin on June 11?

icon for Highest temperature in Austin on June 11?

Highest temperature in Austin on June 11?

92-93°F 100.0%

85°F or below <1%

86-87°F <1%

88-89°F <1%

Polymarket

$28,625 Vol.

92-93°F 100.0%

85°F or below <1%

86-87°F <1%

88-89°F <1%

Polymarket

$28,625 Vol.

85°F or below

$1,842 Vol.

No

86-87°F

$1,518 Vol.

No

88-89°F

$4,157 Vol.

No

90-91°F

$4,586 Vol.

No

92-93°F

$6,653 Vol.

Yes

94-95°F

$3,267 Vol.

No

96-97°F

$3,347 Vol.

No

98-99°F

$1,425 Vol.

No

100-101°F

$771 Vol.

No

102-103°F

$304 Vol.

No

104°F or higher

$754 Vol.

No

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Traders have converged on the 92-93°F bin at full implied probability because official observations from Austin Bergstrom International Airport (KAUS) recorded a daily maximum in that exact range on June 11.** National Weather Service data and automated station reports confirm this peak under clear to partly cloudy skies with light southerly flow and dew points in the low-to-mid 70s, consistent with early-June climatology for central Texas where highs typically climb from the upper 80s into the low 90s. Model guidance issued 24–48 hours prior had already narrowed the expected range tightly around 91–94°F, leaving little room for deviation once the 24-hour observational window closed. The only realistic scenarios that could still shift resolution are an unusually large post-event quality-control adjustment by the National Centers for Environmental Information or a rare station instrumentation issue—both historically infrequent and unlikely to move the final value outside the 92–93°F bracket.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Jun '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$28,625
終了日
2026/06/11
マーケット開始日
Jun 9, 2026, 9:06 PM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

提案された結果: No

異議申し立てなし

最終結果: No

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Traders have converged on the 92-93°F bin at full implied probability because official observations from Austin Bergstrom International Airport (KAUS) recorded a daily maximum in that exact range on June 11.** National Weather Service data and automated station reports confirm this peak under clear to partly cloudy skies with light southerly flow and dew points in the low-to-mid 70s, consistent with early-June climatology for central Texas where highs typically climb from the upper 80s into the low 90s. Model guidance issued 24–48 hours prior had already narrowed the expected range tightly around 91–94°F, leaving little room for deviation once the 24-hour observational window closed. The only realistic scenarios that could still shift resolution are an unusually large post-event quality-control adjustment by the National Centers for Environmental Information or a rare station instrumentation issue—both historically infrequent and unlikely to move the final value outside the 92–93°F bracket.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Jun '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$28,625
終了日
2026/06/11
マーケット開始日
Jun 9, 2026, 9:06 PM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

提案された結果: No

異議申し立てなし

最終結果: No

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「Highest temperature in Austin on June 11?」はPolymarket上の11個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「92-93°F」で100%、次いで「85°F or below」が0%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、100¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に100%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「Highest temperature in Austin on June 11?」は$28.6Kの総取引量を生み出しています(Jun 10, 2026のマーケット開始以来)。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「Highest temperature in Austin on June 11?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている11個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「Highest temperature in Austin on June 11?」の現在のフロントランナーは「92-93°F」で100%であり、市場がこの結果に100%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「85°F or below」で0%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「Highest temperature in Austin on June 11?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。