Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a near-certain 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 64-65°F in San Francisco on May 13, driven by verified observational data from the Automated Surface Observing System (ASOS) at San Francisco International Airport (KSFO), the market's resolution source via Weather Underground and National Weather Service records. Cool marine air persisted under a persistent stratus layer typical of "May Gray" conditions, with onshore winds limiting daytime heating and keeping peaks in this range—consistent with May climatology averaging 65-68°F highs amid upwelling of chilly Pacific waters. Realistic challenges would require a rare post hoc data revision from NOAA or NWS confirming sensor anomalies or overlooked peak readings above 66°F, though such corrections are infrequent for established ASOS metrics.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日5月13日のサンフランシスコの最高気温は?
64〜65°F 100.0%
47°F以下 <1%
48~49°F <1%
50~51°F <1%
$53,832 Vol.
$53,832 Vol.
47°F以下
いいえ
48~49°F
いいえ
50~51°F
いいえ
52〜53°F
いいえ
54〜55°F
いいえ
56〜57°F
いいえ
58~59°F
いいえ
60~61°F
いいえ
62〜63°F
いいえ
64〜65°F
はい
66°F以上
いいえ
64〜65°F 100.0%
47°F以下 <1%
48~49°F <1%
50~51°F <1%
$53,832 Vol.
$53,832 Vol.
47°F以下
いいえ
48~49°F
いいえ
50~51°F
いいえ
52〜53°F
いいえ
54〜55°F
いいえ
56〜57°F
いいえ
58~59°F
いいえ
60~61°F
いいえ
62〜63°F
いいえ
64〜65°F
はい
66°F以上
いいえ
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: May 11, 2026, 12:11 AM ET
提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a near-certain 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 64-65°F in San Francisco on May 13, driven by verified observational data from the Automated Surface Observing System (ASOS) at San Francisco International Airport (KSFO), the market's resolution source via Weather Underground and National Weather Service records. Cool marine air persisted under a persistent stratus layer typical of "May Gray" conditions, with onshore winds limiting daytime heating and keeping peaks in this range—consistent with May climatology averaging 65-68°F highs amid upwelling of chilly Pacific waters. Realistic challenges would require a rare post hoc data revision from NOAA or NWS confirming sensor anomalies or overlooked peak readings above 66°F, though such corrections are infrequent for established ASOS metrics.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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