Recent National Weather Service model consensus and supporting numerical guidance have converged on a daily high of 58–59°F at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport for May 16, driving the overwhelming market-implied probability for that range. This outcome aligns with observed atmospheric conditions, including a stable high-pressure system moderating temperatures near seasonal norms after earlier May warmth. Official observations from the primary reporting station will determine resolution, with traders incorporating climatological baselines that place typical mid-May highs in the mid-to-upper 60s. Minor forecast revisions or localized microclimate variations could still shift the final recorded value, though current data strongly favor the 58–59°F bin.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日5月16日のシアトルの最高気温は?
58~59°F 99.6%
60〜61°F <1%
56〜57°F <1%
62~63°F <1%
$91,344 Vol.
$91,344 Vol.
56〜57°F
<1%
58~59°F
100%
60〜61°F
<1%
62~63°F
<1%
64〜65°F
<1%
華氏66度以上
<1%
58~59°F 99.6%
60〜61°F <1%
56〜57°F <1%
62~63°F <1%
$91,344 Vol.
$91,344 Vol.
56〜57°F
<1%
58~59°F
100%
60〜61°F
<1%
62~63°F
<1%
64〜65°F
<1%
華氏66度以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: May 14, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
Recent National Weather Service model consensus and supporting numerical guidance have converged on a daily high of 58–59°F at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport for May 16, driving the overwhelming market-implied probability for that range. This outcome aligns with observed atmospheric conditions, including a stable high-pressure system moderating temperatures near seasonal norms after earlier May warmth. Official observations from the primary reporting station will determine resolution, with traders incorporating climatological baselines that place typical mid-May highs in the mid-to-upper 60s. Minor forecast revisions or localized microclimate variations could still shift the final recorded value, though current data strongly favor the 58–59°F bin.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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