The Hong Kong Observatory (HKO) recorded a minimum air temperature of 26.2°C on May 13, 2026—the lowest of the day—driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability on the 26°C outcome in this resolved market. This observation, captured via standard meteorological instruments from midnight through the full diurnal cycle, aligns with pre-event forecasts anticipating limited overnight cooling amid persistent humidity and scattered clouds, consistent with May climatology where average lows hover around 24–25°C but warmer anomalies prevail in 2026's record-hot year. Scenarios challenging this positioning are negligible, requiring an unprecedented HKO data revision due to instrumental malfunction, as verified readings represent authoritative ground truth with no further updates expected.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日5月13日の香港の最低気温は?
26°C 100.0%
19℃以下 <1%
20℃ <1%
21°C <1%
$29,042 Vol.
$29,042 Vol.
19℃以下
いいえ
20℃
いいえ
21°C
いいえ
22℃
いいえ
23°C
いいえ
24°C
いいえ
25°C
いいえ
26°C
はい
27℃
いいえ
28°C
いいえ
29°C以上
いいえ
26°C 100.0%
19℃以下 <1%
20℃ <1%
21°C <1%
$29,042 Vol.
$29,042 Vol.
19℃以下
いいえ
20℃
いいえ
21°C
いいえ
22℃
いいえ
23°C
いいえ
24°C
いいえ
25°C
いいえ
26°C
はい
27℃
いいえ
28°C
いいえ
29°C以上
いいえ
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: May 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
The Hong Kong Observatory (HKO) recorded a minimum air temperature of 26.2°C on May 13, 2026—the lowest of the day—driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability on the 26°C outcome in this resolved market. This observation, captured via standard meteorological instruments from midnight through the full diurnal cycle, aligns with pre-event forecasts anticipating limited overnight cooling amid persistent humidity and scattered clouds, consistent with May climatology where average lows hover around 24–25°C but warmer anomalies prevail in 2026's record-hot year. Scenarios challenging this positioning are negligible, requiring an unprecedented HKO data revision due to instrumental malfunction, as verified readings represent authoritative ground truth with no further updates expected.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
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