Recent model consensus from NOAA and NWS indicates the daily minimum temperature in New York City on June 14, 2026, will occur overnight or near dawn under a warm, moist air mass with light southerly flow and limited radiational cooling. This setup positions the low most likely in the 72–73°F range, aligning with the market’s leading 43% implied probability, while also supporting elevated odds for 74–77°F. June climatology typically features lows near 67°F, but current conditions reflect above-normal warmth from a persistent ridge and minimal cloud cover earlier in the period that reduced daytime cooling. Traders are monitoring the latest hourly observations and short-range guidance for any late adjustments from frontal passages or wind shifts that could nudge the minimum lower.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日6月14日のニューヨークの最低気温は？
6月14日のニューヨークの最低気温は？
72〜73°F 43%
76～77°F 31.0%
74〜75°F 23%
68〜69°F 11%
$13,085 Vol.
$13,085 Vol.
2026/06/14
華氏63度以下
1%
64～65°F
1%
66〜67°F
1%
68〜69°F
11%
70～71°F
7%
72〜73°F
43%
74〜75°F
16%
76～77°F
19%
78〜79°F
<1%
80～81°F
<1%
華氏82度以上
<1%
72〜73°F 43%
76～77°F 31.0%
74〜75°F 23%
68〜69°F 11%
$13,085 Vol.
$13,085 Vol.
2026/06/14
華氏63度以下
$1,792 Vol.
1%
64～65°F
$2,102 Vol.
1%
66〜67°F
$2,191 Vol.
1%
68〜69°F
$807 Vol.
11%
70～71°F
$232 Vol.
7%
72〜73°F
$272 Vol.
43%
74〜75°F
$923 Vol.
16%
76～77°F
$1,851 Vol.
19%
78〜79°F
$1,186 Vol.
<1%
80～81°F
$976 Vol.
<1%
華氏82度以上
$775 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from NOAA and NWS indicates the daily minimum temperature in New York City on June 14, 2026, will occur overnight or near dawn under a warm, moist air mass with light southerly flow and limited radiational cooling. This setup positions the low most likely in the 72–73°F range, aligning with the market’s leading 43% implied probability, while also supporting elevated odds for 74–77°F. June climatology typically features lows near 67°F, but current conditions reflect above-normal warmth from a persistent ridge and minimal cloud cover earlier in the period that reduced daytime cooling. Traders are monitoring the latest hourly observations and short-range guidance for any late adjustments from frontal passages or wind shifts that could nudge the minimum lower.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Jun 12, 2026, 9:31 PM ET
音量
$13,085終了日
2026/06/14マーケット開始日
Jun 12, 2026, 9:31 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from NOAA and NWS indicates the daily minimum temperature in New York City on June 14, 2026, will occur overnight or near dawn under a warm, moist air mass with light southerly flow and limited radiational cooling. This setup positions the low most likely in the 72–73°F range, aligning with the market’s leading 43% implied probability, while also supporting elevated odds for 74–77°F. June climatology typically features lows near 67°F, but current conditions reflect above-normal warmth from a persistent ridge and minimal cloud cover earlier in the period that reduced daytime cooling. Traders are monitoring the latest hourly observations and short-range guidance for any late adjustments from frontal passages or wind shifts that could nudge the minimum lower.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$13,085終了日
2026/06/14マーケット開始日
Jun 12, 2026, 9:31 PM ETRecent model consensus from NOAA and NWS indicates the daily minimum temperature in New York City on June 14, 2026, will occur overnight or near dawn under a warm, moist air mass with light southerly flow and limited radiational cooling. This setup positions the low most likely in the 72–73°F range, aligning with the market’s leading 43% implied probability, while also supporting elevated odds for 74–77°F. June climatology typically features lows near 67°F, but current conditions reflect above-normal warmth from a persistent ridge and minimal cloud cover earlier in the period that reduced daytime cooling. Traders are monitoring the latest hourly observations and short-range guidance for any late adjustments from frontal passages or wind shifts that could nudge the minimum lower.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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