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icon for MD-06 Democratic Primary Winner
選挙·ハウス・プライマリー

MD-06 Democratic Primary Winner

icon for MD-06 Democratic Primary Winner
選挙·ハウス・プライマリー

MD-06 Democratic Primary Winner

April McClain Delaney 91%

David Trone 9%

Kiambo White <1%

George Gluck <1%

Polymarket

$19,840 Vol.

April McClain Delaney 91%

David Trone 9%

Kiambo White <1%

George Gluck <1%

Polymarket

$19,840 Vol.

April McClain Delaney

$4,804 Vol.

91%

David Trone

$3,022 Vol.

9%

Kiambo White

$3,224 Vol.

<1%

George Gluck

$2,122 Vol.

<1%

Daniel Krakower

$1,692 Vol.

<1%

Alexis Goldstein

$1,705 Vol.

<1%

Ethan Wechtaluk

$1,840 Vol.

<1%

Altimont Wilks

$1,431 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MD-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.April McClain Delaney holds a commanding position in the June 23 Democratic primary for Maryland’s 6th congressional district as the incumbent representative, bolstered by strong polling leads of 10–15 points in recent surveys, a broad array of party endorsements, and her established record since winning the seat in 2024. David Trone, the former representative who vacated the district to run unsuccessfully for Senate in 2024, has loaned his campaign millions in an effort to reclaim the nomination but trails significantly despite heavy advertising. The race has featured pointed exchanges over issues including immigration enforcement and campaign messaging, with McClain Delaney issuing a cease-and-desist regarding Trone’s use of “re-elect” terminology. Other candidates remain marginal factors given limited visibility and resources. With early voting underway and the primary less than two weeks away, trader consensus aligns with the incumbent’s sustained advantages in fundraising breadth, local support networks, and consistent survey performance.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MD-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
音量
$19,840
終了日
2026/06/23
マーケット開始日
May 19, 2026, 4:45 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MD-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MD-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.April McClain Delaney holds a commanding position in the June 23 Democratic primary for Maryland’s 6th congressional district as the incumbent representative, bolstered by strong polling leads of 10–15 points in recent surveys, a broad array of party endorsements, and her established record since winning the seat in 2024. David Trone, the former representative who vacated the district to run unsuccessfully for Senate in 2024, has loaned his campaign millions in an effort to reclaim the nomination but trails significantly despite heavy advertising. The race has featured pointed exchanges over issues including immigration enforcement and campaign messaging, with McClain Delaney issuing a cease-and-desist regarding Trone’s use of “re-elect” terminology. Other candidates remain marginal factors given limited visibility and resources. With early voting underway and the primary less than two weeks away, trader consensus aligns with the incumbent’s sustained advantages in fundraising breadth, local support networks, and consistent survey performance.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MD-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
音量
$19,840
終了日
2026/06/23
マーケット開始日
May 19, 2026, 4:45 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MD-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「MD-06 Democratic Primary Winner」はPolymarket上の8個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「April McClain Delaney」で91%、次いで「David Trone」が9%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、91¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に91%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「MD-06 Democratic Primary Winner」は$19.8Kの総取引量を生み出しています（May 19, 2026のマーケット開始以来）。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「MD-06 Democratic Primary Winner」で取引するには、このページに記載されている8個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「MD-06 Democratic Primary Winner」の現在のフロントランナーは「April McClain Delaney」で91%であり、市場がこの結果に91%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「David Trone」で9%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「MD-06 Democratic Primary Winner」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。