The Virginia 1st district race remains closely contested because redrawn lines incorporating more suburban Richmond and Henrico County voters have shifted the seat leftward from its prior Republican lean, creating a narrow partisan baseline. Incumbent Rob Wittman benefits from name recognition, a record of electoral overperformance, and established fundraising, while Democratic nominee Shannon Taylor, the Henrico prosecutor who recently secured her party's nomination, draws strength from local prosecutorial experience and turnout potential in growing Democratic-leaning areas. A recent early poll showed the candidates essentially tied. Developments that could widen the gap include further shifts in national midterm dynamics, candidate-specific polling trends, or turnout differentials in key suburban precincts ahead of the November general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$22,300 Vol.
$22,300 Vol.
2026/11/04
民主党
55%
共和党
46%
$22,300 Vol.
$22,300 Vol.
2026/11/04
民主党
$18,621 Vol.
55%
共和党
$3,679 Vol.
46%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Virginia 1st district race remains closely contested because redrawn lines incorporating more suburban Richmond and Henrico County voters have shifted the seat leftward from its prior Republican lean, creating a narrow partisan baseline. Incumbent Rob Wittman benefits from name recognition, a record of electoral overperformance, and established fundraising, while Democratic nominee Shannon Taylor, the Henrico prosecutor who recently secured her party's nomination, draws strength from local prosecutorial experience and turnout potential in growing Democratic-leaning areas. A recent early poll showed the candidates essentially tied. Developments that could widen the gap include further shifts in national midterm dynamics, candidate-specific polling trends, or turnout differentials in key suburban precincts ahead of the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ET
音量
$22,300終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Virginia 1st district race remains closely contested because redrawn lines incorporating more suburban Richmond and Henrico County voters have shifted the seat leftward from its prior Republican lean, creating a narrow partisan baseline. Incumbent Rob Wittman benefits from name recognition, a record of electoral overperformance, and established fundraising, while Democratic nominee Shannon Taylor, the Henrico prosecutor who recently secured her party's nomination, draws strength from local prosecutorial experience and turnout potential in growing Democratic-leaning areas. A recent early poll showed the candidates essentially tied. Developments that could widen the gap include further shifts in national midterm dynamics, candidate-specific polling trends, or turnout differentials in key suburban precincts ahead of the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$22,300終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Virginia 1st district race remains closely contested because redrawn lines incorporating more suburban Richmond and Henrico County voters have shifted the seat leftward from its prior Republican lean, creating a narrow partisan baseline. Incumbent Rob Wittman benefits from name recognition, a record of electoral overperformance, and established fundraising, while Democratic nominee Shannon Taylor, the Henrico prosecutor who recently secured her party's nomination, draws strength from local prosecutorial experience and turnout potential in growing Democratic-leaning areas. A recent early poll showed the candidates essentially tied. Developments that could widen the gap include further shifts in national midterm dynamics, candidate-specific polling trends, or turnout differentials in key suburban precincts ahead of the November general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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