Incumbent Rep. Marilyn Strickland's strong reelection record in the D+9 Cook Partisan Voting Index district underpins trader consensus pricing Democrats at 92.5% to win Washington's 10th Congressional District House seat, reflecting her consistent 57-58% general election margins in 2022 and 2024 against Republican challengers. Following the May 8 filing deadline, the field features three Democrats—including Strickland—plus one Republican, Chris Chung, and minor-party candidates, with forecasters like Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball unanimously rating it Solid or Safe Democratic. The August 4 top-two primary likely advances two Democrats, barring an upset. Rare shifts could stem from a national Republican midterm wave, scandal, or health issues.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日民主党
93%
共和党
7%
民主党
93%
共和党
7%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Marilyn Strickland's strong reelection record in the D+9 Cook Partisan Voting Index district underpins trader consensus pricing Democrats at 92.5% to win Washington's 10th Congressional District House seat, reflecting her consistent 57-58% general election margins in 2022 and 2024 against Republican challengers. Following the May 8 filing deadline, the field features three Democrats—including Strickland—plus one Republican, Chris Chung, and minor-party candidates, with forecasters like Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball unanimously rating it Solid or Safe Democratic. The August 4 top-two primary likely advances two Democrats, barring an upset. Rare shifts could stem from a national Republican midterm wave, scandal, or health issues.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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