Ongoing military tensions and naval restrictions in the Persian Gulf have sharply curtailed commercial vessel movements through the Strait of Hormuz since late February 2026. Shipping data shows daily transits frequently in the single digits or lower, down from a pre-conflict average exceeding 100 vessels, due to Iranian warnings, U.S. interception efforts, and widespread rerouting by carriers. Recent naval skirmishes and blockades have further discouraged passages, with only limited numbers of cargo ships, tankers, and other vessels recorded in early May. This sustained reduction in maritime traffic underpins the strong trader consensus favoring the lowest volume range for the end of the month, though any verified de-escalation or corridor agreement could alter the trajectory.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트0-10 87%
10-20 6%
20-40 3.5%
60+ 3.0%
$319,847 거래량
$319,847 거래량
2026.05.31
0-10
87%
10-20
6%
20-40
3%
40-60
2%
60+
3%
0-10 87%
10-20 6%
20-40 3.5%
60+ 3.0%
$319,847 거래량
$319,847 거래량
2026.05.31
0-10
$170,832 거래량
87%
10-20
$42,858 거래량
6%
20-40
$34,031 거래량
3%
40-60
$27,429 거래량
2%
60+
$44,698 거래량
3%
This market will resolve according to the 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz that IMF Portwatch reports for May 31, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
This market will resolve as soon as data for the specified date has been published. If no data for the specified date has been published by June 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on data for the most recent date prior to May 31, 2026, for which data is available.
This market will resolve based on the first publication of data for May 31, 2026. Any subsequent revisions will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.Ongoing military tensions and naval restrictions in the Persian Gulf have sharply curtailed commercial vessel movements through the Strait of Hormuz since late February 2026. Shipping data shows daily transits frequently in the single digits or lower, down from a pre-conflict average exceeding 100 vessels, due to Iranian warnings, U.S. interception efforts, and widespread rerouting by carriers. Recent naval skirmishes and blockades have further discouraged passages, with only limited numbers of cargo ships, tankers, and other vessels recorded in early May. This sustained reduction in maritime traffic underpins the strong trader consensus favoring the lowest volume range for the end of the month, though any verified de-escalation or corridor agreement could alter the trajectory.
This market will resolve according to the 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz that IMF Portwatch reports for May 31, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
This market will resolve as soon as data for the specified date has been published. If no data for the specified date has been published by June 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on data for the most recent date prior to May 31, 2026, for which data is available.
This market will resolve based on the first publication of data for May 31, 2026. Any subsequent revisions will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
This market will resolve as soon as data for the specified date has been published. If no data for the specified date has been published by June 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on data for the most recent date prior to May 31, 2026, for which data is available.
This market will resolve based on the first publication of data for May 31, 2026. Any subsequent revisions will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.
마켓 개설일: Apr 30, 2026, 3:15 PM ET
거래량
$319,847종료일
2026.05.31마켓 개설일
Apr 30, 2026, 3:15 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz that IMF Portwatch reports for May 31, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
This market will resolve as soon as data for the specified date has been published. If no data for the specified date has been published by June 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on data for the most recent date prior to May 31, 2026, for which data is available.
This market will resolve based on the first publication of data for May 31, 2026. Any subsequent revisions will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.Ongoing military tensions and naval restrictions in the Persian Gulf have sharply curtailed commercial vessel movements through the Strait of Hormuz since late February 2026. Shipping data shows daily transits frequently in the single digits or lower, down from a pre-conflict average exceeding 100 vessels, due to Iranian warnings, U.S. interception efforts, and widespread rerouting by carriers. Recent naval skirmishes and blockades have further discouraged passages, with only limited numbers of cargo ships, tankers, and other vessels recorded in early May. This sustained reduction in maritime traffic underpins the strong trader consensus favoring the lowest volume range for the end of the month, though any verified de-escalation or corridor agreement could alter the trajectory.
This market will resolve according to the 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz that IMF Portwatch reports for May 31, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
This market will resolve as soon as data for the specified date has been published. If no data for the specified date has been published by June 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on data for the most recent date prior to May 31, 2026, for which data is available.
This market will resolve based on the first publication of data for May 31, 2026. Any subsequent revisions will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
This market will resolve as soon as data for the specified date has been published. If no data for the specified date has been published by June 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on data for the most recent date prior to May 31, 2026, for which data is available.
This market will resolve based on the first publication of data for May 31, 2026. Any subsequent revisions will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.
거래량
$319,847종료일
2026.05.31마켓 개설일
Apr 30, 2026, 3:15 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ongoing military tensions and naval restrictions in the Persian Gulf have sharply curtailed commercial vessel movements through the Strait of Hormuz since late February 2026. Shipping data shows daily transits frequently in the single digits or lower, down from a pre-conflict average exceeding 100 vessels, due to Iranian warnings, U.S. interception efforts, and widespread rerouting by carriers. Recent naval skirmishes and blockades have further discouraged passages, with only limited numbers of cargo ships, tankers, and other vessels recorded in early May. This sustained reduction in maritime traffic underpins the strong trader consensus favoring the lowest volume range for the end of the month, though any verified de-escalation or corridor agreement could alter the trajectory.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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