Incumbent Republican Rep. Jeff Hurd leads early polling in Colorado's 3rd Congressional District, a rural Western Slope battleground that leans Republican after his narrow 2024 victory, driving trader consensus to a 70.5% implied probability for the GOP in the November general election. Recent polls, including Ragnar Research (March 2026) showing Hurd at 46% to Democrat Alex Kelloff's 41% and Expedition Strategies (January) with Hurd at 48%, underscore his edge amid strong fundraising—$1.9 million cash on hand versus Democrats' roughly $450,000 each. Hurd faces a GOP primary challenge from Ron Hanks ahead of the June 30 primaries, but ratings from Cook Political Report (Likely R) and others reinforce Republican hold potential despite national House slim majority dynamics.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.11.04
Republican Party
64%
Democratic Party
38%
신규
신규
2026.11.04
Republican Party
$449 거래량
64%
Democratic Party
$647 거래량
38%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CO-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
If no winner is announced by November 4, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Rep. Jeff Hurd leads early polling in Colorado's 3rd Congressional District, a rural Western Slope battleground that leans Republican after his narrow 2024 victory, driving trader consensus to a 70.5% implied probability for the GOP in the November general election. Recent polls, including Ragnar Research (March 2026) showing Hurd at 46% to Democrat Alex Kelloff's 41% and Expedition Strategies (January) with Hurd at 48%, underscore his edge amid strong fundraising—$1.9 million cash on hand versus Democrats' roughly $450,000 each. Hurd faces a GOP primary challenge from Ron Hanks ahead of the June 30 primaries, but ratings from Cook Political Report (Likely R) and others reinforce Republican hold potential despite national House slim majority dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CO-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
If no winner is announced by November 4, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
If no winner is announced by November 4, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Dec 16, 2025, 11:47 AM ET
거래량
$1,097종료일
2026.11.04마켓 개설일
Dec 16, 2025, 11:47 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CO-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
If no winner is announced by November 4, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Rep. Jeff Hurd leads early polling in Colorado's 3rd Congressional District, a rural Western Slope battleground that leans Republican after his narrow 2024 victory, driving trader consensus to a 70.5% implied probability for the GOP in the November general election. Recent polls, including Ragnar Research (March 2026) showing Hurd at 46% to Democrat Alex Kelloff's 41% and Expedition Strategies (January) with Hurd at 48%, underscore his edge amid strong fundraising—$1.9 million cash on hand versus Democrats' roughly $450,000 each. Hurd faces a GOP primary challenge from Ron Hanks ahead of the June 30 primaries, but ratings from Cook Political Report (Likely R) and others reinforce Republican hold potential despite national House slim majority dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CO-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
If no winner is announced by November 4, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
If no winner is announced by November 4, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$1,097종료일
2026.11.04마켓 개설일
Dec 16, 2025, 11:47 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Rep. Jeff Hurd leads early polling in Colorado's 3rd Congressional District, a rural Western Slope battleground that leans Republican after his narrow 2024 victory, driving trader consensus to a 70.5% implied probability for the GOP in the November general election. Recent polls, including Ragnar Research (March 2026) showing Hurd at 46% to Democrat Alex Kelloff's 41% and Expedition Strategies (January) with Hurd at 48%, underscore his edge amid strong fundraising—$1.9 million cash on hand versus Democrats' roughly $450,000 each. Hurd faces a GOP primary challenge from Ron Hanks ahead of the June 30 primaries, but ratings from Cook Political Report (Likely R) and others reinforce Republican hold potential despite national House slim majority dynamics.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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