Connecticut's 3rd congressional district has been held by Democratic incumbent Rosa DeLauro since 1991, with the seat consistently delivering strong Democratic margins in recent cycles, including her 2024 reelection. Filing for the 2026 primaries closed on June 9, with the August 11 primaries and November 3 general election ahead. Multiple Democratic candidates have entered the primary, while Republican contenders remain limited. This structural advantage, combined with the district's south-central Connecticut voter base and absence of recent shifts in partisan dynamics, underpins the current trader consensus reflected in the market prices. Scenarios that could alter the outcome remain narrow, such as an unexpected primary upset or late national political realignment affecting turnout.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.11.03
Democratic Party
93%
Republican Party
7%
신규
신규
2026.11.03
Democratic Party
$2,280 거래량
93%
Republican Party
$5,534 거래량
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Connecticut's 3rd congressional district has been held by Democratic incumbent Rosa DeLauro since 1991, with the seat consistently delivering strong Democratic margins in recent cycles, including her 2024 reelection. Filing for the 2026 primaries closed on June 9, with the August 11 primaries and November 3 general election ahead. Multiple Democratic candidates have entered the primary, while Republican contenders remain limited. This structural advantage, combined with the district's south-central Connecticut voter base and absence of recent shifts in partisan dynamics, underpins the current trader consensus reflected in the market prices. Scenarios that could alter the outcome remain narrow, such as an unexpected primary upset or late national political realignment affecting turnout.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
거래량
$7,814종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Connecticut's 3rd congressional district has been held by Democratic incumbent Rosa DeLauro since 1991, with the seat consistently delivering strong Democratic margins in recent cycles, including her 2024 reelection. Filing for the 2026 primaries closed on June 9, with the August 11 primaries and November 3 general election ahead. Multiple Democratic candidates have entered the primary, while Republican contenders remain limited. This structural advantage, combined with the district's south-central Connecticut voter base and absence of recent shifts in partisan dynamics, underpins the current trader consensus reflected in the market prices. Scenarios that could alter the outcome remain narrow, such as an unexpected primary upset or late national political realignment affecting turnout.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$7,814종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Connecticut's 3rd congressional district has been held by Democratic incumbent Rosa DeLauro since 1991, with the seat consistently delivering strong Democratic margins in recent cycles, including her 2024 reelection. Filing for the 2026 primaries closed on June 9, with the August 11 primaries and November 3 general election ahead. Multiple Democratic candidates have entered the primary, while Republican contenders remain limited. This structural advantage, combined with the district's south-central Connecticut voter base and absence of recent shifts in partisan dynamics, underpins the current trader consensus reflected in the market prices. Scenarios that could alter the outcome remain narrow, such as an unexpected primary upset or late national political realignment affecting turnout.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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