Official temperature observations from National Weather Service stations in Austin on May 16 confirmed a daily maximum of at least 90°F, driving the market’s 100% implied probability for that outcome. This aligns with typical late-spring patterns in Central Texas, where southerly flow and high pressure under clear skies commonly push highs into the upper 80s or low 90s. Historical mid-May averages near 85°F provide context for the above-normal reading, while model guidance and real-time surface data showed minimal cooling overnight. Any realistic shift would require an uncommon post-event data revision, an event that occurs infrequently once initial reports are validated.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Austin on May 16?
Highest temperature in Austin on May 16?
$62,095 거래량
$62,095 거래량
2026.05.16
88-89°F
<1%
90°F or higher
100%
$62,095 거래량
$62,095 거래량
2026.05.16
88-89°F
$12,557 거래량
<1%
90°F or higher
$8,785 거래량
100%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official temperature observations from National Weather Service stations in Austin on May 16 confirmed a daily maximum of at least 90°F, driving the market’s 100% implied probability for that outcome. This aligns with typical late-spring patterns in Central Texas, where southerly flow and high pressure under clear skies commonly push highs into the upper 80s or low 90s. Historical mid-May averages near 85°F provide context for the above-normal reading, while model guidance and real-time surface data showed minimal cooling overnight. Any realistic shift would require an uncommon post-event data revision, an event that occurs infrequently once initial reports are validated.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: May 14, 2026, 12:19 AM ET
거래량
$62,095종료일
2026.05.16마켓 개설일
May 14, 2026, 12:19 AM ET결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official temperature observations from National Weather Service stations in Austin on May 16 confirmed a daily maximum of at least 90°F, driving the market’s 100% implied probability for that outcome. This aligns with typical late-spring patterns in Central Texas, where southerly flow and high pressure under clear skies commonly push highs into the upper 80s or low 90s. Historical mid-May averages near 85°F provide context for the above-normal reading, while model guidance and real-time surface data showed minimal cooling overnight. Any realistic shift would require an uncommon post-event data revision, an event that occurs infrequently once initial reports are validated.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$62,095종료일
2026.05.16마켓 개설일
May 14, 2026, 12:19 AM ET결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
Official temperature observations from National Weather Service stations in Austin on May 16 confirmed a daily maximum of at least 90°F, driving the market’s 100% implied probability for that outcome. This aligns with typical late-spring patterns in Central Texas, where southerly flow and high pressure under clear skies commonly push highs into the upper 80s or low 90s. Historical mid-May averages near 85°F provide context for the above-normal reading, while model guidance and real-time surface data showed minimal cooling overnight. Any realistic shift would require an uncommon post-event data revision, an event that occurs infrequently once initial reports are validated.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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